Home > History Says Pullback From Stock Market Rally a Solid Bet
Print

History Says Pullback From Stock Market Rally a Solid Bet

April 21st, 2009

correctionThere’s more where that came from.

That’s what some market watchers are saying about Monday’s sharp selloff, following a stunning-yet, some say, suspect-run-up of well over 20 percent from the standing bear market low of March 9. 

“Whenever you get that kind of move in that short a period when news is still mixed, you’re vulnerable to a setback,” says money manager Jim Awad, managing director at Zephyr Management. “We’ve gone from the bear market to the never-never land.”

Caution and skepticism has been building in some quarters recently, particularly as the Dow Industrials hugged a 200-point trading range over the 11 sessions going into Monday.

To some, however, the writing was already on the wall late last week, even as the major indices edged to new highs Friday in their spring sprint.

“This thing is due,” veteran market watcher and UBS floor operations director Art Cashin told CNBC early Friday. “I’m betting we’re going to see that pullback in the rally.”

Cashin, among other things, cited the narrow nature of the rally and how many of the stocks attracting interest were “low-priced stocks,” often a sign of indiscriminate bottom fishing. 

Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at Standard’s & Poor, says technical data and historical trends pointed to an April 17 high, followed by the typical retreat and retesting of the bear market low.

In his March research note, Stovall said the S&P 500 could post a rally in which it recovered some 22 percent of what it lost during the bear market in a 39-day period, the historical rule.

“If history repeats itself, we would probably go through a retest,” said Stovall. “We’re just at the beginning of the retest today.”

Full Story: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/History-Says-Pullback-From-cnbc-14987078.html?sec=topStories&pos=7&asset=&ccode=

Related posts:

  1. Bespoke’s Hickey: History Hints at a 2012 Rally in Financials (XLK, XLF, KBE, KRE, RKH)
  2. Steve Palmer: The Stock Market Will Rally Significantly Into The End Of The Year (GLD, SLV, GDX, SH, SDS)
  3. The Market Needs A Pullback (IEF, GDXJ, SLV, DIA, SPY, IWM, QQQ)
  4. ETFs To Play Into September’s Weak Market History (GDX, GDXJ, IWM, SPY)
  5. Market Watch: Why The Bear Market Rally Has Begun (TZA, SDS, FAZ, TNA, VXX)

ETF BASIC NEWS


 

Tags: , ,

  1. No comments yet.
  1. No trackbacks yet.

Copyright 2009-2012 ETFDAILYNEWS.COM

LOG