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Investors Are Betting On A Bearish Outlook For The Emerging Markets ETF

December 14th, 2009

options-trading“Trading of bearish emerging-market options rose to a 10-week high as investors increased wagers that a U.S. exchange-traded fund tracking stocks in developing nations will retreat after doubling since March. More than 718,000 puts giving the right to sell the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index changed hands last week, or 54 percent higher than the average this year. The ETF, which tracks shares in 22 countries, lost 1.2 percent to $41.35 last week as the Dollar Index rose a second week, oil posted the longest losing streak in six years and investors speculated that the heightened risk of default in Spain, Greece and Dubai may signal that credit losses will spread throughout the global economy,” Jeff Kearns Reports From Bloomberg.

“What’s notable is the size and consistency of the trading over the past week,” said Mike Thurow, a senior options strategist at Susquehanna Financial Group LLP in Bala Cynwyd, Pennsylvania. “It’s been a steady stream of put buying and call selling, which means investors are betting on a decline over the next few weeks, as they’ve been primarily focused on January options.”

“Traders are speculating that emerging-market shares may reverse gains that led this year’s global rally after central banks around the world cut interest rates to spur lending and governments including China and the U.S. enacted $2 trillion of stimulus packages. The emerging-markets ETF, known by its (EEM) symbol, has jumped 66 percent this year, triple the gain for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index,” Kearns Reports.

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The investment (EEM) seeks investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance of the MSCI Emerging Markets index. The fund generally invests at least 90% of assets in the securities of its underlying index or in ADRs and GDRs representing such securities. The index was developed by MSCI as an equity benchmark for international stock performance. It is nondiversified.

TOP 10 HOLDINGS ( 23.64% OF TOTAL ASSETS)  
 
Company Symbol % Assets
Bank Bradesco ADR N/A 1.75
China Mobile Ltd. N/A 1.8
HDFC BANK LTD (HDB) 1.79
ITAU UNIBANCO ADS (ITUB) 2.7
KB FINL GP INC (KB) 1.75
Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. N/A 2.77
PETROLEO BRASILEIRO (PBR) 2.38
POSCO (PKX) 2.36
Samsung Electronics Co Ltd N/A 3.62
TAIWAN SEMICOND ADS (TSM) 2.72
CALL OPTIONS Expire at close Fri, Dec 18, 2009
 
Strike Symbol Last Chg Bid Ask Vol Open Int
10.00 MBYLJ.X 29.00 0.00 31.60 31.70 20 19
15.00 MBYLO.X 19.45 0.00 26.60 26.70 1 21
16.00 MBYLP.X 23.00 0.00 25.60 25.70 20 11
17.00 MBYLQ.X 19.60 0.00 24.55 24.70 1 28
18.00 MBYLR.X 12.80 0.00 23.60 23.70 0 268
19.00 MBYLS.X 18.95 0.00 22.60 22.70 6 70
20.00 MBYLT.X 17.80 0.00 21.60 21.70 15 447
21.00 MBYLU.X 20.41 Up 2.41 20.55 20.70 1 226
22.00 MBYLV.X 17.30 0.00 19.60 19.70 64 659
23.00 MBYLW.X 16.06 0.00 18.55 18.70 2 42
24.00 MBYLX.X 16.95 0.00 17.60 17.70 2 294
25.00 EEMLY.X 15.65 0.00 16.60 16.70 1 729
26.00 EEMLX.X 15.84 0.00 15.60 15.70 3 66
27.00 EEMLE.X 14.50 0.00 14.55 14.65 30 287
28.00 EEMLH.X 9.60 0.00 13.60 13.70 1 14,215
29.00 EEMLC.X 11.45 0.00 12.55 12.65 20 7,754
30.00 EEMLF.X 11.18 0.00 11.55 11.65 4 2,069
31.00 EEMLA.X 10.20 0.00 10.55 10.65 1 7,502
32.00 EEMLB.X 9.15 0.00 9.60 9.70 30 4,771
33.00 EEMLZ.X 8.17 0.00 8.60 8.70 10 4,680
34.00 EEMLD.X 7.19 0.00 7.55 7.65 1 36,900
35.00 EEMLI.X 6.57 Up 0.29 6.60 6.70 18 6,904
36.00 EEMLJ.X 5.60 Up 0.32 5.55 5.65 4 15,987
37.00 EEMLK.X 4.55 Up 0.20 4.55 4.65 233 26,230
38.00 EEMLL.X 3.51 Down 0.04 3.55 3.65 12 39,181
39.00 EEMLM.X 2.66 Up 0.21 2.63 2.68 23 41,672
40.00 EEMLN.X 1.74 Up 0.18 1.70 1.73 110 57,443
41.00 EEMLO.X 0.97 Up 0.15 0.93 0.95 811 47,055
42.00 EEMLP.X 0.36 Up 0.05 0.35 0.37 9,939 64,255
43.00 EEMLQ.X 0.09 Down 0.01 0.08 0.09 332 54,958
44.00 EEMLR.X 0.02 Down 0.01 0.01 0.03 9,165 71,651
45.00 EEMLS.X 0.01 0.00 N/A 0.01 124 147,108
46.00 EEMLT.X 0.01 0.00 N/A 0.01 6 7,143
47.00 EEMLU.X 0.01 0.00 N/A 0.01 10 21,587
48.00 EEMLV.X 0.01 0.00 N/A 0.01 2 2,555
49.00 EEMLW.X 0.02 0.00 N/A 0.01 1 261
50.00 EEMLG.X 0.01 0.00 N/A 0.01 1 7,089
51.00 EIKLY.X 0.01 0.00 N/A 0.01 1 22
 
PUT OPTIONS Expire at close Fri, Dec 18, 2009
 
Strike Symbol Last Chg Bid Ask Vol Open Int
12.00 MBYXL.X 0.05 0.00 N/A 0.02 5 5
14.00 MBYXN.X 0.05 0.00 N/A 0.02 2 135
15.00 MBYXO.X 0.09 0.00 N/A 0.02 0 19
16.00 MBYXP.X 0.09 0.00 N/A 0.02 4 276
17.00 MBYXQ.X 0.04 0.00 N/A 0.02 16 705
18.00 MBYXR.X 0.01 0.00 N/A 0.02 29 475
19.00 MBYXS.X 0.02 0.00 N/A 0.02 3 650
20.00 MBYXT.X 0.01 0.00 N/A 0.02 57 337
21.00 MBYXU.X 0.04 0.00 N/A 0.02 40 6,060
22.00 MBYXV.X 0.02 0.00 N/A 0.02 335 3,138
23.00 MBYXW.X 0.02 0.00 N/A 0.02 16 1,381
24.00 MBYXX.X 0.01 0.00 N/A 0.02 66 29,207
25.00 EEMXY.X 0.01 0.00 N/A 0.01 5 66,802
26.00 EEMXX.X 0.01 0.00 N/A 0.01 2 1,578
27.00 EEMXE.X 0.01 0.00 N/A 0.01 56 33,087
28.00 EEMXH.X 0.01 0.00 N/A 0.01 148 14,517
29.00 EEMXC.X 0.01 0.00 N/A 0.01 70 54,195
30.00 EEMXF.X 0.01 0.00 N/A 0.01 647 72,287
31.00 EEMXA.X 0.01 0.00 N/A 0.01 30 110,870
32.00 EEMXB.X 0.02 0.00 N/A 0.01 1 38,794
33.00 EEMXZ.X 0.01 0.00 N/A 0.01 38 31,681
34.00 EEMXD.X 0.01 0.00 N/A 0.01 30 76,529
35.00 EEMXI.X 0.01 Down 0.02 N/A 0.02 112 148,704
36.00 EEMXJ.X 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.02 682 83,310
37.00 EEMXK.X 0.02 Down 0.03 0.01 0.03 1,354 89,376
38.00 EEMXL.X 0.04 Down 0.03 0.03 0.04 1,575 71,486
39.00 EEMXM.X 0.07 Down 0.06 0.06 0.07 956 39,751
40.00 EEMXN.X 0.13 Down 0.12 0.12 0.14 3,639 79,216
41.00 EEMXO.X 0.31 Down 0.18 0.32 0.33 4,821 40,940
42.00 EEMXP.X 0.75 Down 0.27 0.74 0.76 268 19,481
43.00 EEMXQ.X 1.65 Down 0.16 1.48 1.52 8 8,078
44.00 EEMXR.X 2.94 0.00 2.41 2.46 50 3,848
45.00 EEMXS.X 4.40 0.00 3.30 3.40 68 54,572
46.00 EEMXT.X 4.20 0.00 4.30 4.45 1 490
47.00 EEMXU.X 6.25 0.00 5.30 5.45 101 229
48.00 EEMXV.X 7.75 0.00 6.30 6.45 10 117
49.00 EEMXW.X 7.90 0.00 7.30 7.45 10 100
50.00 EEMXG.X 11.50 0.00 8.35 8.50 10 20
51.00 EIKXY.X 12.50 0.00 9.35 9.50 10 20

Chart for iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index (EEM)

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