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An Institutional Trader Is Using ETF Options To Call A Bottom In The Equity Slide Or A Top In The Bond Market

February 7th, 2010

treasury-etf“A trader has sold one block of 17,852 March 46 puts in the iShares UltraShort 20+ Treasury (TBT) exchange-traded fund for $0.86. The TBT opened higher and is up 0.13 percent on the day to $47.18, sitting at a support level that has held since early December. Shares were up around $51 coming into the new year and have been hovering around this support are for the last couple of weeks,” Chris McKhann Reports From Option Monster.

McKhann continues to say, “The volume in those March 46 puts is well above the open interest of 2,814 contracts at that strike, indicating that this is a new opening position. The trader is making a bet that the Treasury ETF will hold above that $46 level through expiration and is willing to buy it at $46 if assigned.”

“Because this is an UltraShort fund–meaning that it looks to provide twice the inverse daily returns of the Treasuries–it is effectively looking for a top in the Treasury market and, possibly through correlation, a bottom to the equity slide. Given the wide variety of financial products available today, this could also be traded against something in another market, including other options, futures, or futures options,” McKhann Reports.

See The Story: HERE

Here are some details on the iShares UltraShort 20+ Treasury ETF (TBT) and a list of the March PUT options:

The investment (TBT) seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, which correspond to twice the inverse of the daily performance of the Barclays Capital 20+ Year U.S. Treasury index. The fund normally invests at least 80% of assets to investments that, in combination, have economic characteristics that are inverse to those of the index. It also typically invests in taking positions in financial instruments, including derivatives that should have similar daily return characteristics as twice the inverse of the index. The fund is nondiversified.

Chart for UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury ProShares (TBT)

PUT OPTIONS Expire at close Fri, Mar 19, 2010
 
Strike Symbol Last Chg Bid Ask Vol Open Int
26.00 TBT100320P00026000 0.04 0.00 N/A 0.02 0 55
30.00 TBT100320P00030000 0.03 0.00 N/A 0.04 0 529
31.00 TBT100320P00031000 0.02 0.00 N/A 0.04 0 147
32.00 TBT100320P00032000 0.03 0.00 N/A 0.05 0 177
33.00 TBT100320P00033000 0.03 0.00 N/A 0.05 0 316
34.00 TBT100320P00034000 0.05 0.00 N/A 0.06 0 324
35.00 TBT100320P00035000 0.04 0.00 N/A 0.06 0 5,573
36.00 TBT100320P00036000 0.05 0.00 0.04 0.08 0 267
37.00 TBT100320P00037000 0.05 Down 0.01 0.04 0.07 5 2,946
38.00 TBT100320P00038000 0.08 0.00 0.06 0.09 0 5,794
39.00 TBT100320P00039000 0.09 Up 0.01 0.08 0.10 10 848
40.00 TBT100320P00040000 0.13 Up 0.03 0.10 0.13 216 5,472
41.00 TBT100320P00041000 0.16 Up 0.08 0.14 0.17 73 1,239
42.00 TBT100320P00042000 0.24 Up 0.03 0.20 0.23 30 2,740
43.00 TBT100320P00043000 0.36 Up 0.07 0.28 0.32 21 1,576
44.00 TBT100320P00044000 0.46 Up 0.01 0.43 0.46 142 4,919
45.00 TBT100320P00045000 0.70 Up 0.03 0.67 0.70 275 5,419
46.00 TBT100320P00046000 1.08 Up 0.10 1.00 1.04 20,599 2,814
47.00 TBT100320P00047000 1.51 Up 0.10 1.46 1.51 537 2,084
48.00 TBT100320P00048000 2.14 Up 0.18 2.05 2.10 233 3,182
49.00 TBT100320P00049000 2.82 Up 0.40 2.75 2.81 47 1,904
50.00 TBT100320P00050000 3.95 Up 0.75 3.55 3.60 45 1,733
51.00 TVT100320P00051000 3.45 0.00 4.35 4.45 0 972
52.00 TVT100320P00052000 5.00 0.00 5.25 5.40 0 1,045
53.00 TVT100320P00053000 5.60 0.00 6.15 6.65 0 380
54.00 TVT100320P00054000 7.65 Up 1.50 7.10 7.60 10 341
55.00 TVT100320P00055000 7.20 0.00 8.10 8.55 0 371
56.00 TVT100320P00056000 7.89 0.00 9.05 9.55 0 230
57.00 TVT100320P00057000 9.58 0.00 10.05 10.55 0 156
58.00 TVT100320P00058000 10.10 0.00 11.00 11.60 0 162
59.00 TVT100320P00059000 10.80 0.00 12.00 12.55 0 11
60.00 TVT100320P00060000 10.70 0.00 13.00 13.55 0 116
61.00 TVT100320P00061000 10.95 0.00 14.00 14.55 0 23
63.00 TVT100320P00063000 15.00 0.00 15.95 16.50 0 47
64.00 TVT100320P00064000 13.10 0.00 16.95 17.50 0 25
65.00 TVT100320P00065000 14.85 0.00 17.95 18.50 0 25
66.00 TVT100320P00066000 15.00 0.00 18.95 19.50 0 139
67.00 TVT100320P00067000 15.95 0.00 19.95 20.50 0 126
68.00 TVT100320P00068000 17.80 0.00 20.95 21.55 0 47
69.00 TVT100320P00069000 22.25 0.00 21.95 22.50 0 13
75.00 TVT100320P00075000 27.80 0.00 27.95 28.55 0 1

 

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