I am interested in buying natural gas for the Fall or winter of 2010. I checked (NYSE: UNG) for the period April 20-3rd week of October last year. (NYSE: UNG) went from about $14.50 (!) to $11, while natural gas contracts actually went up from $3.75 to $5 in the same period (!).    

Current storage:   

Data:    

Current storage is 5.5% greater than last year, and 18.5% larger than the 5-year average. Storage this year is even worse than last year, so performance might be similar, until late Fall that is. (NYSE: UNG) could well be trading around $5 in October. The Canadian version is (TORONTO: GAS.TO), and it suffers similarly.    

Please take a look:    

Claymore Natural Gas Commodity (GAS.TO):    

Natural Gas Contracts:    

United States Natural Gas (UNG):    

Amazingly, (NYSE: UNG) and (TORONTO: GAS.TO) have negative correlation to the price of gas.    

So, I am looking for natural gas producers that are mostly unhedged to the price of natural gas, i.e, that have not locked in at low prices.    

Candidates mentioned are (CHK) and (HGT) in the U.S.    

Written By: Shocked Investor     

Shocked that companies and mutual funds would invest OPM (Other People’s Money) in high-risk investments, the Shocked Investor was originally on a mission to find out if our money ended up in these dubious instruments. This blog now also discusses other financial topics, such as straddles, options, gold, natural gas, agri/food stocks, and the collapse of the US Dollar.    

ETFs offer an easy way to play Natural Gas and there are many options available besides the most popular US Natural Gas ETF (NYSE: UNG).  We have listed some options for investors to look at and compare to one another below.  Note that we have listed some industry related ETFs as well as direct Natural Gas exposure plays excluding any leveraged ETFs.    

United States Natural Gas Fund (NYSE: UNG)    

The United States Natural Gas Fund, LP (“UNG”) is a new way for investors and hedgers to manage their exposure to energy. The United States Natural Gas Fund LP (NYSE: UNG) is an exchange traded security that is designed to track in percentage terms the movements of natural gas prices. UNG issues units that may be purchased and sold on the NYSE Arca. The investment objective of UNG is for the changes in percentage terms of the units’ net asset value to reflect the changes in percentage terms of the price of natural gas delivered at the Henry Hub, Louisiana, as measured by the changes in the price of the futures contract on natural gas traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange that is the near month contract to expire, except when the near month contract is within two weeks of expiration, in which case it will be measured by the futures contract that is the next month contract to expire, less UNG’s expenses.    

United States 12 Month Natural Gas (NYSE: UNL)    

The investment seeks to reflect the changes, net of expenses, of the spot price of natural gas delivered at the Henry Hub, Louisiana, as measured by the changes in the average of the prices of 12 futures contracts on natural gas traded on the NYMEX. The fund will consist of the near month contact to expire and the contracts for the following eleven months, for a total of 12 consecutive months contracts, except when the near month contract is within two weeks of expiration, in which case it will be measured by the futures contract that is the next month contract to expire and the contracts for the following eleven consecutive months.    

iPath DJ-UBS Natural Gas TR Sub-Idx ETN (NYSE: GAZ)    

The investment seeks results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance, before fees and expenses, of the Dow Jones-UBS Natural Gas Total Return Sub-Index. The note is designed to reflect the performance of natural gas. The index is composed of the Henry Hub Natural Gas futures contract traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange.    

First Trust ISE-Revere Natural Gas Idx (NYSE: FCG)    

The investment seeks to replicate, net of expenses, the ISE-REVERE Natural Gas index. The fund invests at least 90% of assets in common stocks that comprise the index. The index is an equal-weighted index that consists of exchange-listed companies that derive a substantial portion of their revenue from the exploration and production of natural gas. The fund is nondiversified.    

iShares Dow Jones US Oil Equipment Index (NYSE: IEZ)    

The investment seeks results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance of the Dow Jones U.S. Select Oil Equipment & Services index. The fund generally invests at least 90% of assets in securities of the Underlying index and depositary receipts representing securities of the Underlying index. It may invest the remainder of assets in securities not included in the Underlying index but which BGFA believes will help the fund track Underlying index, and in futures contracts, options on futures contracts, options and swaps as well as cash and cash equivalents, including shares of money market funds advised by BGFA. It is nondiversified.    

Jefferies | TR/J CRB Wildcatters Exploration & Production Equity ETF (NYSE: WCAT)    

The investment seeks investment results that replicate as closely as possible, before fees and expenses, the price and yield performance of the Thomson Reuters/Jefferies CRB Wildcatters Energy E&P Equity index. The fund normally invests at least 80% of total assets in the equity securities that comprise the underlying index and depositary receipts based on the securities in index. The index is designed to track the overall performance of a universe of listed U.S. and Canadian small and mid-capitalization companies engaged in the exploration and production of oil and natural gas. The fund is nondiversified.

Related posts:

1. U.S. Commodity Funds Files For United States Natural Gas Double Inverse Fund ETF (NYSE:UNGD)
2. VIX Futures: A Tale Of Two Backwardations (VIXY, TVIX, VXX, VXZ, XIV)
3. Beyond The U.S. Natural Gas Fund: 3 Intruiging ETFs To Play Natural Gas (GASZ, UNG, GAZ, NAGS, CHK, DVN)
4. Natural Gas Prices: Why It’s Time To Load Up On Natural Gas (UNG, FCG, DVN, CHK, GAZ)

UNG