Comments on: The Stock Market Crash May Be Near For ETF Investors

By: buy penny stock online

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By: Ben

Ben — Sun, 03 Oct 2010 08:59:02 +0000

Well, let’s just say that we’re not even close to the crash as yet. I believe we’re getting there though. My guess is in November. That’s another month away, and a month is almost an eternity in the financial world.

My guess is the DJIA will be down 10% to close the last quarter in 2010, and lose another 25% to close the last quarter of 2011, and to lose another 45% to close the last quarter of 2012. This is a best case scenario, a more moderate scenario is a 75% loss in the equity markets overall by 2013, which means a 70% drop on the Dow by the first quarter of 2013. It wouldn’t be nice in any case, but there is growing evidence of a loss of liquidity especially related to the M3 money supply which to my knowledge is starting to really thin out now.

By: urdoinitrong

urdoinitrong — Fri, 03 Sep 2010 15:10:55 +0000

Well, your prediction, so far, is horribly wrong. You may want to switch to trying to predict the future by reading used tampons.

By: roy orb

roy orb — Wed, 01 Sep 2010 09:31:18 +0000

@mel gibson i DO think we crash before 2010 is over. im guessing oct-nov would be a reasonable time frame

By: anony

anony — Sat, 28 Aug 2010 15:27:46 +0000

When did they move April Fool’s Day to July?

By: witch doctor

witch doctor — Wed, 25 Aug 2010 20:23:30 +0000

Moon phases? God help us? This is the end? How is this person taken seriously and why are they let anywhere near the equity markets? Perhaps sacrificing a goat and dancing around it’s bleeding corpse naked under a new moon would also cause the impending “mega-crash”. Such methods at elast would seem more thought out than this article which I just suffered. I must conclude this pattern is a total failure.

By: ETF Investing

ETF Investing — Wed, 25 Aug 2010 05:47:05 +0000

Stock markets can help the businesses to raise liquid funds at the time of their needs by selling or pledging their shares listed in the stock exchange.

By: free india stock market tips by email

free india stock market tips by email — Wed, 18 Aug 2010 11:46:26 +0000

The stock market is a place where long term securities are bought and sold. It is a market used to raise long term finances for the businesses and provides the businesses with the necessary liquidity. Stock markets can help the businesses to raise liquid funds at the time of their needs by selling or pledging their shares listed in the stock exchange. Stock markets are necessary to attract foreign capital in the form of foreign institutional investors to our country and this hot money decides the upward or downward movement of our indices.

By: g leib

g leib — Sat, 14 Aug 2010 19:00:31 +0000

Exactly right! I have been using, and following this trend for many months. While the time frame has been greatly exagerated, the results have been the same. For instance, the 1930 move up has taken only 5 months, while this one took 15 months. I still believe the drops should be similar in scope, meaning the time frame should be close. The reasoning behind it is simple. Most crashs results in a 2 to 3 week pattern.

There has also been 2 hindenburg omens which always preceed a drop of at least 10 percent. the time frame has always been within 2 months of this omen. The accuracy of this omen is over 80 percent.

By: johnc

johnc — Fri, 06 Aug 2010 00:04:17 +0000

Alright ZOOM out on the chart of today.. go to the 2 day if you ahve too… You’ll then not only see a striking resemblance to the 87′ crash but also the 1930′s drop. Actually the whole 1929 chart has been a great cheat sheet.

By: Robc

Robc — Tue, 03 Aug 2010 05:17:42 +0000

…and acid washed jeans and members only jackets are back in style.. This moon stuff is downright silly.

There aren’t enough participants in the market to male technical analysis meaningful at all.. I would wait to see buying on volume for a good chunk of time before turning outright bearish.. Too much money on the sidelines right now that might jump in on signs of improving macros or intervention like a Fannie/Freddie instant refi program.

By: incredulous

incredulous — Sat, 24 Jul 2010 19:31:23 +0000

ETF Daily news is a website I will never look at again. I thought this article was seriously espousing a market drop. Then the author started talking about moon phases and I thought “oh it’s a send-up”. Keep reading… “no I think their serious ’cause it just isn’t funny”. What a waste of time. Why am I writing this?

By: ChrisFS

ChrisFS — Fri, 23 Jul 2010 18:34:46 +0000

You said “But regardless, I have to conclude that the next two weeks must contain the epicenter of the decline, otherwise I will have to conclude that the pattern similarity is a total failure. ”

SPY is UP 7.3% in the last two weeks. No crash, ergo you are an idiot, Get out of the market and don’t give market advice.
http://www.google.com/finance?chdnp=1&chdd=1&chds=1&chdv=1&chvs=maximized&chdeh=0&chfdeh=0&chdet=1279915200000&chddm=4753&chls=IntervalBasedLine&q=NYSE:SPY&ntsp=0

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By: Alastair

Alastair — Mon, 19 Jul 2010 21:26:43 +0000

Two thoughts:
1) Remember October 1987 crash – was beta testing a real time equity system for traders in London.
2) This moon cycle thing is weird anyways checkout Larry Pesavento on Dominic Frizbees podcasts.

By: mel gibson

mel gibson — Tue, 13 Jul 2010 22:18:41 +0000

aaaaaaargh…..so where are we now matey?….always a summer rally on low volume drifting,….come late aug. will be very interesting… sp @ 800?

By: vinsanity

vinsanity — Tue, 06 Jul 2010 20:51:52 +0000

Speaking of the moon, those tables do not look similar at all.

“almost exactly” is a sign of non-commitment – is it exactly or not? no degrees there..

By: scrapster

scrapster — Tue, 06 Jul 2010 11:20:28 +0000

you had me until you threw the moon in