Doomsday Special: 7 Hard Asset Investments You Can Hold In Your Hand
Stoyan Bojinov: Few things can withstand the test of time, and perhaps even fewer will be able to retain their monetary worth in today’s unprecedented economic landscape. The recent financial meltdown has brought upon a seemingly endless expansion of the money supply and our government has racked up a debt that bears a frightful resemblance to the toxic balance sheets which sparked the fire to begin with. Woes in the debt burdened currency block overseas have only added to the list of troubles; fears of inflation are lurking as the uncertainty surrounding the health of the global financial market continues to plague investors’ confidence [see also 12 High-Yielding Commodities For 2012].
Equity markets have proven to be worthy contenders to even the wildest of roller coasters; nasty swings in valuations across presumably stable corners of the economy have eroded the confidence of many long-term, buy-and-hold investors. Aside from the rather obvious and ongoing, systematic devaluation of the U.S. dollar, many investors have turned to alternative asset classes for another reason. The appeal of commodities among investors of all walks has grown tremendously in recent years for two simple reasons.
First and foremost, this asset class bears a compelling investment thesis; from a fundamental perspective, rapidly expanding populations across the globe are contributing to ever-growing needs for energy, food, housing, and other goods which are inherently reliant on natural resources. From a portfolio construction perspective, the appeal of commodities stems from historical data; this asset class has demonstrated the potential to deliver uncorrelated returns to broad equity markets, which can help to enhance your portfolio’s risk-adjusted returns [see also The Ten Commandments of Commodity Investing].
Deciding you want to invest in commodities is a good first step. However, the universe of investment vehicles available at your fingertips can be a bit frightening if not downright overwhelming at first glance. For many investors, even after you do your homework, it’s not uncommon for commodity futures markets and exchange-traded products to remain clouded with complexities and nuances.
Just like the old saying, “You have to see it to believe it”, it’s hard to argue with the investment case behind hard assets. People can often times overlook the sheer variety of investable products which they can literally hold in their hands. Below we outline seven hard asset investments that have demonstrated the ability to preserve capital as well as appreciate in times of uncertainty, and often times inflationary periods [see also 25 Ways To Invest In Natural Gas]:
No surprise here. Gold has been around forever and its appeal as a precious metal has truly withstood the test of time. Since the U.S. abandoned the gold standard in 1971, this precious metal has seen a meteoric rise in value; gold prices have appreciated over 500% since the year 2000 alone. Serving as a worthy hedge against rising prices, it’s no wonder that investors have embraced physical bullion as a means of preserving their capital while also maintaining lucrative upside potential. Buying gold bars, coins, and jewelry ensures that the value of the assets you can hold in your hand will move in unison with spot gold pricing; this is appealing become it allows for investors to avoid the nuances of futures contracts as well as settling for indirect equity exposure through mining companies. Because the yellow metal has a high value-to-weight ratio, it is relatively cheap to store a material amount of gold bullion (just remember to arrange for security) [see also Three Reasons Why Gold Is Overvalued].
This shiny metal offers similar benefits as its yellow counterpart, although it certainly has a few tricks up its sleeve. The appeal of investing in silver, whether it be coins or necklaces, is twofold: silver holds appeal as a precious metal and is considered to be a worthy hedge against inflation, although its price can be considerably more volatile than gold. Widespread industrial use is how this shiny metal separates itself from gold. The price of silver is impacted by a variety of factors which are closely tied to the economic cycle; silver is a necessary resource for numerous commercial applications across the health care and electronics industries. Silver’s blend of luxury and industrial appeal is what makes this metal so attractive, seeing as how it maintains the flexibility to appreciate in times of economic prosperity as well as uncertainty [see also 25 Ways To Invest In Silver].
Much like silver, this precious metal offers a unique risk/return profile thanks to its inflation-fighting abilities and industrial use. Platinum demand stems primarily from the automobile and electronics industries, although jewelry markets are also a vital price driver. Furthermore, since the production of this metal is so heavily concentrated in emerging nations, platinum is often prone to price spikes, which makes this investment even more lucrative for those who wish to hold it over the long-haul. If investors continue to lose faith in paper currencies, demand for platinum could also rise as an alternative since the precious metal is so scarce. Platinum coins, bars, and jewelry are all viable options for investors looking to preserve, and potentially grow, their capital with hand-held investments [see also Ultimate Guide To Platinum Investing].
4. Antique Guns
Purchases of guns, both commercial and collectibles ones, have been steadily on the rise, even surging in recent years as fears of tightening gun-control laws have intensified. While semiautomatic weapons are quite uncommon across most portfolios, these products have steadily appreciated in value over the years, a feat that few asset classes can brag about. Just like every other commodity, the price of guns is influenced by supply, demand, as well as speculation. Many are anticipating for tighter gun-control and sales laws in the foreseeable future, while some are even preparing for the reinstatement of the federal assault weapons ban. If the 1994-2004 ban comes into effect once again, it will be illegal to manufacture weapons in the banned categories, although weapons already in circulation can continue to exchange hands. Any such restriction would likely spark a drastic increase in the value of certain guns as they essentially become commodities with fairly fixed supply levels [see also Three Things Wall Street Journal Didn’t Tell You About Commodities].
The collectible firearms market is also steaming with activity. Scared by the volatility in the stock market after the recent crash, a growing number of investors have turned to classic firearms as a means of preserving their capital. For instance, valuations for handcrafted English shotguns have climbed by around 3%-5% per year, making this a rather safe bet by equity market standards. After all, guns are an investment which you can enjoy (responsibly), and thus the potential for capital appreciation makes them all the more attractive.
Stamps aren’t quite as shiny as gold and they certainly can’t compare to guns in terms of utility. Nonetheless, this palm-sized investment is a worthy consideration for those looking to tap into the vast universe of profitable collectibles. Although stamps appear to be perhaps the most fragile product on this list, they are not much different from other hard assets; stamps derive their worth from a shared psychological belief that they are in fact valuable. Simply put, stamps are a non-productive, collectible asset, much like gold bars and silver coins.
In fact, recent studies show that returns on collective stamps could rival precious metals over a long enough timeline. Research shows that over the period 1900-2008, stamps have generated a nominal annualized return of 7%. This is a rather remarkable feat that few collectibles can attest to. Historical evidence also suggest that stamps feature a return pattern that bears a close resemblance to the yellow metal; stamps are a worthy hedge against rising prices, and much like gold, they can also serve as a partial hedge against unexpected inflation.
Rising populations in booming emerging markets across Asia and Latin America are driving food demand now more than ever. The result: farmland prices, both at home and abroad, have appreciated greatly in recent years as agribusiness has expanded tremendously to meet the needs of an ever-growing world population. Buying a plot of land requires a bit more hassle than going to the jewelry store, although doing your homework could pay off big time.
Historical data reveals the appeal of this timeless hard asset; between 1987 and 2004, farmland prices averaged annual increases of 4.8%. What’s even more exciting is that prices have gone onto appreciate even more rapidly in recent years thanks to record-low interest rates and steadily growing demand for commodities. Farmland prices have averaged annuals gains of 15% between 2004 and 2008, showcasing the ability of this asset class to deliver uncorrelated returns to broad equity markets. Experts have expressed their concerns that land value increases of this magnitude are unsustainable, although they have also acknowledged that increasing food demand from all over the globe is a key factor that would prevent a major collapse [see also 50 Ways To Invest In Agriculture].
7. Classic Cars
While its true that only a few people could actually ever lift a car off the ground by themselves, the investment thesis behind classic cars is strikingly similar to collectible guns; both are luxury goods which can also be used for personal enjoyment. Classic cars are a viable alternative investment for one simple reason; these hard assets can preserve your capital since they posses intrinsic value given their limited supply. Finding a good deal on a 1966 Shelby Cobra compares to mining for gold in a sense, because at the end of the day you are ultimately looking for something that has a scarce supply.
Much like the other hard assets on this list, classic cars have the potential to generate impressive, uncorrelated returns, especially when stock markets turn sour. In fact, the HAGI Top Index, which measures the performance of 50 key collective classic cars, has increased 30 times in the past 30 years. This sort of appreciation translates into an annual growth rate of more than 12%, making classic cars a worthy adversary to even the most stable stocks. In 2011 alone, certain segments of the classic car market saw prices surge upwards of 20%, blowing past gold’s 10% gain on the year. Investors should however consider a number of other factors before dipping into their life savings and heading to the nearest auction. Experts emphasize the importance of accounting for restoration costs and general maintenance expenses, as well as having a keen eye for which models are consistently popular among collectors.
Related Tickers: SPDR Gold Trust (NYSEArca:GLD), iShares Silver ETF (NYSEArca:SLV), ETFs Physical Platinum Shares (NYSEArca:PPLT).
Written By Stoyan Bojinov From CommodityHQ Disclosure: No positions at time of writing.
CommodityHQ offers educational content, analysis, and commentary on global commodity markets. Whether you’re looking to speculate on a short-term jump in crude or establish a long-term allocation to natural resources, CommodityHQ has the information you need.