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22 Warning Signs Of Serious Doom Ahead For Global Financial Markets (GLD, SLV, TZA, FAS, SDS)

April 24th, 2012

Michael Snyder: If you enjoy watching financial doom, then you are quite likely to really enjoy the rest of 2012.  Right now, red flags are popping up all over the place.  Corporate insiders are selling off stock
like there is no tomorrow, major economies all over Europe continue to implode, the IMF is warning that the eurozone could actually break up and there are signs of trouble at major banks all over the planet.  Unfortunately, it looks like the period of relative stability that global financial markets have been enjoying is about to come to an end.  A whole host of problems that have been festering just below the surface are starting to manifest, and we are beginning to see the ingredients for a “perfect storm” start to come together.  The greatest global debt bubble in human history is showing signs that it is getting ready to burst, and when that happens the consequences are going to be absolutely horrific.  Hopefully we still have at least a little bit more time before the global financial system implodes, but at this point it doesn’t look like anything is going to be able to stop the chaos that is on the horizon.

The following are 22 red flags that indicate that very serious doom is coming for global financial markets….

#1 According to CNN, the level of selling by insiders at corporations listed on the S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX) is the highest that it has been in almost a decade.  Do those insiders know something that the rest of us do not?

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#2 Home prices in the United States have fallen for six months in a row and are now down 35 percent from the peak of the housing market.  The last time that home prices in the U.S. were this low was back in 2002.

#3 It is now being projected that the Greek economy will shrink by another 5 percent this year.

#4 Despite wave after wave of austerity measures, Greece is still going to have a budget deficit equivalent to about 7 percent of GDP in 2012.

#5 Interest rates on Italian and Spanish sovereign debt are rapidly rising.  The following is from a recent RTE article….

Spain’s borrowing rate nearly doubled in a short-term debt auction as investors fretted over the euro zone’s determination to deal with its debts. 

And Italy raised nearly €3.5 billion in a short-term bond sale today but at sharply higher interest rates amid fresh concerns over the euro zone outlook, the Bank of Italy said.

#6 The government of Spain recently announced that its 2011 budget deficit was much larger than originally projected and that it probably will not meet its budget targets for 2012 either.

#7 Amazingly, bad loans now make up 8.15 percent of all loans on the books of Spanish banks.  That is the highest level in 18 years.  The total value of all toxic loans in Spain is equivalent to approximately 13 percent of Spanish GDP.

#8 One key Spanish stock index has already fallen by more than 19 percentso far this year.

#9 The Spanish government has announced a ban on all cash transactions larger than 2,500 euros.  Many are interpreting this as a panic move.

#10 It is looking increasingly likely that a major bailout for Spain will be needed.  The following is from a recent Reuters article….

Economic experts watching Spain don’t know how much money will be needed or precisely when, but some are near certain that Madrid will eventually seek a multi-billion euro bailout for its banks, and perhaps even for the state itself.

#11 Analysts at Moody’s Analytics are warning that Italy has now reached financially unsustainable territory….

“Italy is already out of fiscal space, in our estimate.” said Moody’s. “Its debt levels relative to GDP already exceed a manageable level. The manageable limit for Italian 10-year bond yields is estimated at 4.2pc. As of Wednesday, Italian 10-year yields were 5.46pc.”

#12 It is being projected that the Portuguese economy will shrink by 5.7 percent during 2012.

#13 There is even trouble in European nations that have been considered relatively stable up to this point.  For example, the Dutch government collapsed on Monday after austerity talks broke down.

#14 The head of the IMF, Christine Lagarde, says that there are “dark clouds on the horizon” for the global economy.

#15 The top economist for the IMF, Olivier Blanchard, recently made this statement: “One has the feeling that at any moment, things could get very bad again.”

#16 A recent IMF report admitted that the current financial crisis could lead to the break up of the eurozone….

Under these circumstances, a break-up of the euro area could not be ruled out. The financial and real spillovers to other regions, especially emerging Europe, would likely be very large.

This could cause major political shocks that could aggravate economic stress to levels well above those after the Lehman collapse.

#17 George Soros is publicly declaring that the European Union could soon experience a collapse similar to what happened to the Soviet Union.

#18 A member of the European Parliament, Nigel Farage, stated during one recent interview that it is inevitable that some major banks in Europe will collapse….

There are going to be some serious banking collapses and the impact of that on some sovereign states, will be serious. I’m afraid we’ve gotten to a point where we really can’t stop this now. We’re beginning to reach a stage where however much false money you create, the problem becomes bigger than the people trying to solve it. We are very close to that point.

When I talk about the threats and the risk that this thing could wind up in some kind of rebellion, some sort of awful social cataclysm, they (other European politicians) are now very worried indeed. They will talk to you in private, but in public, nobody dares utter a word.

I think the deterioration, in the last two or three weeks, in the eurozone is very serious indeed. It’s the bond spreads in Italy and Spain. It’s the fact that youth unemployment is now over 50% in some of these Mediterranean countries.

It’s riot and disorder on the streets. And yet a month ago I was here and there was Herman Van Rumpuy telling us, ‘We’ve turned the corner. Everything is solved. There are no more problems with the eurozone.’ What a pack of jokers they look like.”

#19 The IMF is projecting that Japan will have a debt to GDP ratio of 256 percent by next year.

#20 Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) is projecting that the S&P 500 will fall by about 11 percent by the end of 2012.

#21 Over the past six months, hundreds of prominent bankers have resigned all over the globe.  Is there a reason why so many are suddenly leaving their posts?

#22 The 9 largest U.S. banks (NYSEARCA:XLF) have a total of 228.72 trillion dollars of exposure to derivatives.  That is approximately 3 times the size of the entire global economy.  It is a financial bubble so immense in size that it is nearly impossible to fully comprehend how large it is.

The financial crisis of 2008 was just a warm up act for what is coming.  The too big to fail banks are larger than ever, the governments of the western world are in far more debt than they were back then, and the entire global financial system is more unstable and more vulnerable than ever before.

But this time the epicenter of the financial crisis will be in Europe.

Outside of Europe (NYSEARCA:VGK), most people simply do not understand how truly nightmarish the European economic crisis really is.

Spain (NYSEARCA:EWP), Italy (NYSEARCA:EWI) and Portugal are all heading for an economic depression and Greece is already in one.

The European Central Bank was able to kick the can down the road a little bit by expanding its balance sheet by about a trillion dollars over the last nine months, but the truth is that the underlying problems in Europe just continue to get worse and worse.

It truly is like watching a horrible car wreck happen in slow motion.

The good news is that there is still a little time to get yourself into a better position for the next financial crisis.  Don’t leave yourself financially exposed to the next crash.

Sadly, just like back in 2008, most people will never even see this next crisis coming.

So do you have any other red flags to add to the list above?  Please feel free to post a comment with your thoughts below….

Related: Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X Shares ETF (NYSEARCA:TZA), Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares ETF (NYSEARCA:FAS), S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX), ProShares UltraShort S&P500 ETF (NYSEARCA:SDS), SPDR Gold Trust (NYSEARCA:GLD), iShares Silver Trust (NYSEARCA:SLV).

Written By Michael Snyder From The Economic Collapse

Michael has an undergraduate degree in Commerce from the University of Virginia and a law degree from the University of Florida law school.   He also has an LLM from the University of Florida law school. Michael has worked for some of the largest law firms in Washington D.C., but now is mostly focus on trying to make a difference in the world.

NYSE:FAS, NYSE:GLD, NYSE:SDS, NYSE:SLV, NYSE:TZA


 

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facebook comments:

  1. rolf
    April 27th, 2012 at 10:13 | #1

    @Joe
    joe, you are an idiot……………..forget ETF’s

  2. Matt
    April 26th, 2012 at 21:18 | #2

    Too bad that horrible sucking sound that Perot envisioned many moons ago actually happened. We can’t grow out of it and are at the mercy of the work ethic of others.

    Ah yes, the once vibrant manufacturing base that communities enjoyed has vanished. Go to work for that insurance company or bank or live on food stamps.

    America is being stole out the back door and dragged off our shores.

  3. Joe
    April 26th, 2012 at 16:29 | #3

    I agree that several of your points are extremely repetitious and over half of your points are focused on Europe. The world is well aware that Europe is having and has had difficulties in the past two years. Most investors would agree that there is less fear of European contagion now than during 2011.

    You likely received a balanced education at UVA, yet now you write a slanted article that is truly reaching to get 22 solid points. You should be embarassed with regard to your opening paragraph of fear-inducing literature.

    I agree that our markets will likely experience a pullback this year, but you are encouraging readers to act on this news using the 5 ETFs tagged in this article? The world is doomed…buy gold? Your bio says that you used to work for large firms, but now you are mostly focus(ed) on trying to make a difference in the world. Congratulations…..

  4. Bad
    April 25th, 2012 at 16:51 | #4

    James :
    Things are definitely messy. We have a Senate Majority Leader that refuses to even discuss formulating a budget for the United States for 3 years now. How unreal is that?

    This is the root of our problem.Throw all the Bums and Bims out.

  5. Michelle
    April 25th, 2012 at 15:02 | #5

    @BigJon\
    Agreed! I am personally boycotting Bank of America and Citibank. I will never do business with them again and same goes for Gm. I do not believe that the american tax payer should be bailing these companies out. If we were going under, then we are simply screwed and will be homeless. Why should this be any different for a company. They are not giving anything back to the society that helped them. The banks continue to be deviate asses and lie and they are bigger now than before. We now have more people on government programs than ever before, but we are being told that what we did to help these companies were the right thing. We could’ve given that money to people in society and they would’ve stimulated the economy in a more natural way and we could’ve been actually in a much better state right now.

  6. Michelle
    April 25th, 2012 at 14:48 | #6

    @James
    And our leaders have the nerve to tell other countries to get their financial houses in order. The amount of our federal, state and city debts is so astronomical, we are in for a ton of pain to ever get out of this. I am lucky and am self employed and have done pretty well for myself, but I know that it takes the entire economy to be doing pretty goood for all of us to have a sustainable good future. It pains me to see what the rich are allowing to happen and think it is okay. I was watching the market the other day and they were showing these poor people in Spain, terrified, watching their world tunmble and their families going hungry and homeless and desperately trying to fight back and then it turns back to some assholes on the market talking about getting their animal spirits going and they can get oil to $110 to $115 easy. This is heartless and cruel to not care what is happening to innocent people all over the world. This is what tells me that we are headed towards something much worse in this world than we have ever seen before.

  7. Michelle
    April 25th, 2012 at 14:22 | #7

    @Andy Piour
    This is to Andy, who is actually doing better in this current “Boom” as they try toconvince us that we are in? Most of the companies do have more money than they have ever had, this is true, but what are they doing with it and why is it that they have all of this now? They are hoarding it and only making this much becausethay are no longer hiring and caring what the economy as a whole does. This can only remain this way for so long. My opinion, we are in a bubble already with these companies and it will pop just like all the bubbles.

  8. James
    April 25th, 2012 at 12:26 | #8

    Things are definitely messy. We have a Senate Majority Leader that refuses to even discuss formulating a budget for the United States for 3 years now. How unreal is that?

  9. Andy Piour
    April 25th, 2012 at 10:51 | #9

    Err, Jim Cramer freaking out back in May 2007… I think many many people not only saw it coming but reacted accordingly. Your 22 red flags are highly repetitious. Any viewing of CNBC on any day and you can find equal weight to the number of green flags. The last few weeks has been a very good example of how in tune the public and press are actually with the economy. Scroll back a few weeks when everybody was asking “where is the pull-back?”. And there it was…

  10. BigJon
    April 25th, 2012 at 03:41 | #10

    Too Big To Fail – what a joke! Bloody hypocrits! All these banks and countries that have got in a mness should fail – in a very puplic way. The fools at the top who earn big money should all be named and shamed (for being corrupt thieves, or at leaast spineless losers who didnt speak up).

    The whole financial system needs to be allowed to correct itself. I bet if we sacked everyone who earns more than a doctor, then everyone would be better off.

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