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Markets: Greece May Trigger A Bearish Stock Pattern

Chris Ciovacco:  Over the weekend, there was little in the way of good news coming from Greece. According to Bloomberg:

Greece’s biggest anti-bailout party, Syriza, said for the second time in as many days that it won’t join a unity government, pushing the country closer to new elections that have sparked concerns about a euro-area exit.

Nine-MSN, in a story dated May 14, also gives little encouragement relative to progress in Greece:

The Euro’s Demise Has Been Set in Motion: Are you protected?


"Nationalism will emerge. Healthier countries will not see fit to spend their hard earned money to bail out their less responsible neighbors."

CLICK HERE to get your Free E-Book, “Why It’s Curtains for the Euro”

Emergency Greek cabinet talks have yielded no clear progress, raising the prospect of new elections that could scupper reforms and drive the country out of the eurozone. If a cabinet cannot be formed by Thursday, when parliament convenes, new elections will have to be called in June.

The S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) finished last week firmly in neutral territory and near support. Unless a breakthrough comes in the Greek political stalemate, the S&P 500 may break below the neckline of a potentially bearish head-and-shoulders chart pattern (see below).

Should the pattern come into play, the video below describes how the possible downside targets of 1,306 and 1,280 were derived. The video also provides updates on the CCM Market Models, DeMark targets, and valuations of blue-chip dividend-paying stocks.

After you click play, use the button in the lower-right corner of the video player to view in full-screen mode. Hit Esc to exit full-screen mode.

Video: Ciovacco Capital MRM

If the S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP:.INX) futures make a clean break below 1,350 and the CCM Risk Model retreats below 50, we may take another incremental step away from risk. The bulls could get a jump start if a new Greek cabinet can be formed sometime before Thursday. Related: UltraShort S&P500 ETF (NYSEARCA:SDS).

Written By Chris Ciovacco From Ciovacco Capital Management, LLC

Chris Ciovacco began his investment career with Morgan Stanley in Atlanta in 1994. With a focus on global macro investing, Chris uses both fundamental and technical analysis to assist in managing risk while looking for growth opportunities around the globe in all asset classes. If you are looking for an independent money manager or financial advisor, Ciovacco Capital is worth a look. Chris graduated from Georgia Tech with Highest Honors earning a degree in Industrial and Systems Engineering in 1990. His experience in the professional ranks began in 1985 as he began working as a co-op for IBM in Atlanta.

Ciovacco Capital Management, LLC (CCM) is an independent money management firm serving clients nationwide. By utilizing extensive research, disciplined risk management techniques, and a globally diversified approach, CCM prudently manages investments for individuals and businessowners. Our focus is on principal protection and purchasing  power preservation in an ever-changing global investment climate.

NYSE:SDS, NYSE:SPY


 

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