SolarCity Corp (SCTY): What Could Boost Shares Even Further

July 22, 2014 2:34pm NYSE:TAN

solarGalileo Russell: Last month, SolarCity Corp (NASDAQ:SCTY) agreed to acquire solar-panel manufacturer Silevo for $200 million. The acquisition may be the best thing to happen to SolarCity since the company completed its IPO in late 2012.

SolarCity was a Wall Street darling for the first 15 months after it went public in December 2012, rising more than 1,000% from its $8 IPO price. Since then, the stock has pulled back dramatically, falling 24% since late February. Perhaps the Silevo purchase will be just the thing to jolt some life back into SolarCity.

Until it acquired Silevo, SolarCity was a rooftop-leasing company and panel installer, marketing and installing packages of solar panels to businesses and consumers. SolarCity is very good at this, and has rapidly grown its market share over the past several years to become the dominant player in U.S. solar.


Source: SolarCity

With Silevo, SolarCity will now be able to manufacture the solar panels themselves. The acquisition seems like a natural evolution of the company’s long-term business plan.

When SolarCity was buying panels from other manufacturers, it was forced to either sacrifice the quality of the panels it was purchasing for the sake of profit, or lose money by spending more on quality panels. Now that the company will be able to build its own panels, it should be able to do both.

SolarCity has essentially cut out the middle man.

By using advanced panels from Silevo, SolarCity will be able to offer its services to an even wider variety of consumers. The company’s goal is to make solar panels affordable to a wider swath of the U.S. population, many of whom heretofore have not been able to afford it.

The incremental margin improvements that SolarCity will reap from its Silevo deal will allow the company to sell its solar panels at lower prices, and thus provide their customers with a cheap alternative to their current energy provider.

The benefits of higher panel efficiency, as well as lower costs, could have an amplified effect on the demand for SolarCity’s services.


As a result, the acquisition could provide a substantial boost to SolarCity’s revenue’s over the next one to two years.

At the moment, the majority of SolarCity’s revenue comes from operating leases. These are long-term (20- to 30-year) agreements with businesses and individuals, where revenue is recognized over the course of a contract. For example, an agreement SolarCity signs today will only recognize 5% (or 1/20th) of its total revenue this year.

This accounting nuance has led shares of SolarCity to appear dramatically overvalued by most traditional metrics. Currently, shares are trading at 37X 2013 sales. Although this isn’t a good number to use to judge the business, it’s unfortunately the nature of standard GAAP accounting principles.

Once SolarCity starts manufacturing its own panels, its sales stand to increase dramatically. Either way it looks like a win for investors hoping SolarCity’s financial statements start showing profitability sooner rather than later.

With the Silevo deal in place, SolarCity isn’t wasting any time taking advantage of it. The company intends to finish building Silevo’s planned New York production facility within the next two years. In that time the company thinks it can generate 1GW of solar panels, making it one of the largest manufacturing plants in the world.

We should know more about the financial implications of SolarCity’s $200 million Silevo purchase soon: SolarCity’s Q2 earnings are due out Aug. 4.

With SolarCity’s stock still down significantly from 2014 highs, additional details on the integration of Silevo could boost shares even further. The stock has already jumped from the mid $50s to nearly $70 since the deal was announced.

This article is brought to you courtesy of Galileo Russell From Wyatt Research. 

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