Scott Pluschau: I recently wrote a few articles explaining the Legacy Commitments of Traders report and the Open Interest of Futures. Here’s last week’s article on the Euro and its COT report. In this week’s report (January 18-24th) there were some major moves made by the commercial traders in the 10 Read more…
NYSE:FXE, NYSE:IEF, NYSE:TBF, NYSE:TBT, NYSE:TLT
Scott Pluschau: The 20 year+ U.S. Treasury Bond exchange traded fund (NYSEArca:TLT) is skating on thin ice. A “head and shoulders” pricing pattern developed on the Daily chart recently. A head and shoulders pattern shows a gradual overcoming of supply vs. demand and it can have serious Read more…
NYSE:IEF, NYSE:SHY, NYSE:TBF, NYSE:TBT, NYSE:TLT
Corey Rosenbloom: Following up with my prior inter-market post this week “Something’s Gotta Give,” let’s take a look at the sharp down-move that developed since then as seen in the iShares Read more…
NYSE:IEF, NYSE:SHY, NYSE:TBF, NYSE:TBT, NYSE:TLT
Chris Ciovacco: We noted extreme levels of optimism earlier today. What could possibly trigger a correction in stocks and commodities? If the Fed fails to signal and/or announce another round of quantitative easing (QE), it would undoubtedly leave the markets disappointed. Read more…
NYSE:IEF, NYSE:SHY, NYSE:TBF, NYSE:TBT, NYSE:TLT, NYSE:TMV
The Daily Capitalist: On the morning of this past Friday the 13th, I was greeted on my home page, Bloomberg.com, by the lead story– which was of investors cheering and captioned by the statement that good news is at hand, CEOs are now in a hiring mood. I had an uh-oh moment in my usual Read more…
NYSE:IEF, NYSE:SHY, NYSE:TBF, NYSE:TBT, NYSE:TLT, NYSE:TMV
Scott Pluschau: The iShares Barclays 7-10 Year Treasury ETF (NYSEARCA:IEF) is coming to a fork in the road. IEF is active and liquid since big money hedges and speculates in Treasuries. I am preparing my trade plan to capitalize on the opportunities that will likely be presenting themselves in 2012. Read more…
NYSE:IEF, NYSE:SHY, NYSE:TBF, NYSE:TBT, NYSE:TLT
Russ Koesterich: Call #1: Maintain long-term overweight global equities “Why own stocks in the first place?” Many investors are asking this question in light of the long-term stagnation in global equity markets, recent market volatility and the surprising outperformance by bonds in 2011. Read more…
NYSE:DVY, NYSE:HDV, NYSE:IDV, NYSE:IEF, NYSE:IOO, OEF
Corey Rosenbloom: It’s understandable if you’ve forgotten about the bond market with all the activity centered on the stock market along with the recent multi-month sideways “rectangle” Read more…
NYSE:IEF, NYSE:LQD, NYSE:TBT, NYSE:TIP, NYSE:TLT
Moby Waller: As we have entered November, 2011 has turned into yet another year where “buy and hold” of the major market indices hasn’t really worked. The 4 major US stock index ETFs are mixed on the year: Read more…
NYSE:GLD, NYSE:IEF, NYSE:TLT, NYSE:VXX, NYSE:XLU
Chris Ciovacco: As we noted on November 1, a rally back toward 1,250 is well within bear market bounds. How we rally (volume, conviction, etc.) will tell us quite a bit about the odds of a more lasting upside move in stocks. We also outlined in a recent video reasons why the improvement in market breadth does Read more…
NYSE:GLD, NYSE:IEF, NYSE:SH, NYSE:TIP, NYSE:TLT, NYSE:UUP
Justice Litle: For the 30 year period between 1981 and September 30th 2011, government bonds outperformed stocks. What does it mean? “Stocks for the long run” is a famous mantra of Wall Street. A distinguished academic, Professor Jeremy Siegel, even wrote a book with exactly that title. Read more…
NYSE:IEF, NYSE:TBF, NYSE:TBT, NYSE:TIP, NYSE:TLT
Corey Rosenbloom: If you’re looking at the Stock Market only, you’re likely missing the other side of the coin which is the Bond Market. With the recent surge through resistance in stocks, let’s get a check-up on the break under support in popular bond funds iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury ETF Read more…
NYSE:IEF, NYSE:TBT, NYSE:TIP, NYSE:TLT
Stocks skyrocketed on Thursday on a massive spike in volume. The markets gapped up at the open, sold off briefly and rallied for most of the session. However, there appeared to be some profit taking into the close. Read more…
NYSE:GDXJ, NYSE:IEF, NYSE:SLV
Martin Hutchinson: I’ve made no secret of my aversion to Treasury bonds. Yields right now are irrationally low, and thus do not accurately reflect U.S. credit risk. Read more…
NYSE:IEF, NYSE:TBF, NYSE:TBT, NYSE:TIP, NYSE:TLT
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