Stocks reclaimed most of Thursday’s losses on Friday, but on lackluster trade. The major indices all closed well in the black as the higher beta indices led the advance. The small-cap Russell 2000 (NYSEARCA:IWM), S&P MidCap 400 and the Nasdaq (NASDAQ:QQQ) tacked on solid gains of 3.1%, 2.3% Read more…
The S&P/Case-Shiller home price index for March, which looks at 20 major cities, showed a decline of 19.1% from the same period last year. That was worse than the 18.6% fall in February, and bad news for the economy. The news chilled investors; stock index futures indicate that U.S. markets will open lower.
Case-Shiller Home Price Index: http://www2.standardandpoors.com/spf/pdf/index/CSHomePrice_History_052619.xls
Investors are always looking for the next ‘big thing.’ In the late 90s, technology was the opportunity of the decade. From 1995 to 2000, the Nasdaq soared from below 800 to above 5,000. From 2002 to 2007 the S&P 500 (SPY) and Dow Jones (DIA) nearly doubled. Real estate prices in some areas more than quadrupled, while broad based real estate ETFs like the SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR) and iShares Dow Jones US Real Estate ETF (IYR) nearly tripled from 2000 to 2007
If you missed out on any of the above mega themes, don’t sweat it. The Nasdaq (QQQQ) has since plummeted, as did the Dow and S&P. Real Estate ETFs have given up all of this century’s gains.
Where is the next bull market?
An old Wall Street adage says that there is always a bull market somewhere. As it turns out, this is yet another piece of Wall Street wisdom that has been proven wrong. In 2008, the only bull market to be found was in short ETFs. The key question is whether investors should be looking for the next new bull market, or get used to a prolonged bear market while figuring out how to prosper along the way.