Tag Archives for: Sam Kirtley

Gold Bulls Need To Learn The Importance Of Stopping Out

stops-tradingSam Kirtley: Over the last 10 years, gold bulls have had a fantastic run as gold rose more than 475% to its August 2011 highs. Even after the recent collapse in gold prices the metal is still up more than 350% in the last decade; the simple strategy of “buy the dip”
NYSE:GLD April 15, 2013 4:16pm

Gold: Inflation Hedge or Something More?

Sam Kirtley: Gold serves numerous functions as an investment. Traditional reasons for investing in gold include:
NYSE:GDX October 16, 2012 2:14pm

What’s Next For Gold Prices?

Sam Kirtley: To help turn around the lagging US economy and stubbornly high unemployment, the Federal Reserve recently announced “QE3”.
ETF BASIC NEWS October 14, 2012 7:19pm

Detailed Look Of Trading Gold Relative To U.S. Real Interest Rates (GLD)

Sam Kirtley:  At the start of 2012 we publicly proposed two pair trades for 2012.
NYSE:GLD

Silver Prices To Benefit From The Golden Cross (SLV, AGQ, SIVR, GLD, SLW)

Sam Kirtley: The anticipation and advent of QE3 has filled the precious metals market champions with considerable optimism. Gold and silver have both steadily, but firmly moved to higher ground.
NYSE:AGQ October 1, 2012 10:22pm

Gold Seasonality: Can We Profit From It? (IAU, GLD, CDE, FCX, NEM)

Sam Kirtley:  Seasonality is observable in a wide variety of variables. In business, sales, production, inventory, man hours and the best time to discount can be at least partially predicted by seasonal effects. Gold is no different. In different months price swings occur somewhat predictably year after year. What

NYSE:GLD February 13, 2012 3:15pm

Federal Reserve Action Will Decide Next Major Move For Gold Prices (GLD, GDX, GDXJ, SGOL, IAU, DGP, GLL)

Sam Kirtley: As our regular readers will know, we view US real interest rates as the key determinant of gold prices over the medium term. Six weeks ago we updated the situation with U.S. real rates (discussion of the theory behind the relationship can be found in that article) and since then, we have
NYSE:DGP January 31, 2012 2:14pm

What Does A Flattening Yield Curve Mean For Gold? (GLD, SLV, GDX, GDXJ, IAU, DZZ, SGOL, GLL, DGP)

Sam Kirtley: In this article, we look to analyse the relationship between gold and the U.S. bond yield curve. The yield curve is an immensely useful economic indicator and hence can be used as one of
NYSE:DGP January 24, 2012 10:22pm

Gold Investing: Revisiting Our Proposal For An Overnight Gold Fund (GLD, SLV, GDX, IAU, DGP, GDXJ)

Sam Kirtley: In August 2010 we wrote an article entitled “Proposing An Overnight Gold Fund” in which we explored the potential for launching a fund that held long positions in gold overnight and was short gold during the day. We pointed out that “a hedge fund starting in 2001 with $100m, with the
NYSE:GDX January 17, 2012 1:13pm

Gold Strategy: Two Long/Short Pair ETF Trades For 2012 (GDX, GLD, TIP, SLV, GDXJ, DGP, IAU)

Sam Kirtley: Pair trading is a trading strategy based on the concepts of statistical arbitrage and convergence. Typically it involves being long one security and short another. For example one may believe that Apple would outperform Microsoft, so one buys Apple and shorts Microsoft. A pair trade may also
NYSE:DGP January 12, 2012 1:13pm

SPDR Gold Trust: Using Options To Hedge Against A Gold ETF Collapse (GLD, SLV, IAU, GDX, DZZ)

Sam Kirtley: At SK Options Trading, we primarily use the SPDR gold trust (NYSEARCA:GLD) for exposure to the gold price. GLD is an exchange traded fund, designed to track the price of one tenth of an ounce of gold. GLD currently holds around 1280 tonnes of physical bullion, the sixth largest holding
NYSE:DZZ January 10, 2012 4:16pm

Does Gold’s Correlation With Stocks Mean That It’s No Longer A Safe Haven? (GLD, GDX, GDXJ, IAU, DZZ)

Sam Kirtley: In this article we examine the current and past relationship between gold and the S&P 500 index and whether or not gold still remains a “safe haven”. In the past gold has often had a low positive
NYSE:DZZ December 6, 2011 12:00am

Silver & Margin Requirements: How The CME System Increases Volatility (SLV, PSLV, AGQ, ZSL, GLD)

Sam Kirtley: In this article we investigate the 2011 Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) silver margin requirement increases and what effect they have had. Margins necessarily need to rise and fall, to ensure there is minimal default risk in the market, but the system the CME utilizes to achieve this has a lot
NYSE:AGQ November 23, 2011 4:16pm

The “Gold Beta” Of Mining Stocks and Why We Continue To Avoid Them (GLD, GDX, GDXJ, IAU, DZZ)

Sam Kirtley: In this article we aim to explain the relationship between the movements in the price of gold and movements in gold stocks. The financial tool that measures this relationship is the asset’s “Beta”. Beta is a measure of risk and compares the historical return of asset X with the return on the
NYSE:DZZ November 16, 2011 6:18pm

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