Toby Connor: Is it a bear market, or is it a bull market, that is the question. Read more…

NYSE:GDX, NYSE:GLD, NYSE:USO, NYSE:UUP

Toby Connor: I think it’s clear by the action in the dollar index this morning and the response by risk assets in general, that the bottom I have been looking for is here.  Read more…

NYSE:DBA, NYSE:DZZ, NYSE:GDX, NYSE:GLD, NYSE:UUP

Toby Connor: June has been the month of major bottoms. Stocks and gold have already formed major yearly cycle lows. Now it’s the CRB’s turn to put in a major three year cycle bottom. This bottom will almost certainly form well above the 2009 low Read more…

NYSE:UCO, NYSE:UNG, NYSE:USO, NYSE:XLE

Toby Connor: It is time to do  quick recap of the big picture view, which is unfolding pretty much as I expected.  Read more…

NYSE:GLD, NYSE:IAU, NYSE:SPY, NYSE:USO, NYSE:UUP, NYSE:XLE

Toby Connor: With Friday’s employment report a few things began to clear up. The first one is the correct cycle count on the stock market (INDEXSP:.INX). With the break to new lows Read more…

NYSE:GDX, NYSE:GLD, NYSE:SPY, NYSE:UUP

Streetwise Reports: Legendary Dow Theory Letters Writer Richard Russell issued a big bear warning May 27. In a special early alert for his subscribers, he announced that his analysis of the April to May activity on the Dow Jones Industrials showed the continuation Read more…

NYSE:AGQ, NYSE:GLD, NYSE:SDS, NYSE:SLV, NYSE:TZA

Toby Connor: Once every year gold and stocks form a major yearly cycle low. Commodities form a major cycle bottom every 2 1/2 to 3 years. Every once in a while all three of these major cycles hit at the same time. I’m pretty sure that’s what is happening right now.  Read more…

NYSE:GDX, NYSE:GLD, NYSE:IAU, NYSE:SLV

Toby Connor: I am making Monday’s premium report available to the public.  I doubt anyone was surprised by the reversal in the dollar index today. Read more…

NYSE:GDX, NYSE:GDXJ, NYSE:GLD, NYSE:IAU, NYSE:SLV

Toby Connor: It may not seem like much happened yesterday, but a very important event occurred. Yesterday the dollar index breached 78.65. The reason that is significant is because 78.65 marked the intraday low of the prior daily cycle. A penetration of that level indicates that the current daily cycle has now Read more…

NYSE:GDX, NYSE:GDXJ, NYSE:GLD, NYSE:SIL, NYSE:SLV

Toby Connor: Over the last several days volatility in the gold market has collapsed forming what is known as a coil. Read more…

NYSE:GDX, NYSE:GDXJ, NYSE:GLD, NYSE:IAU

Toby Connor:  The last bull ended when the leading stock, Google (NASDAQ:GOOG), entered a parabolic “bubble” phase. That was the signal that the bull had reached the euphoria stage. Read more…

NYSE:SPY, NYSE:UUP

Toby Connor: As convincing as this rally has been I am confident this is an ending phase and not the start a new secular bull market. Actually the bear market began last year in May but was temporarily aborted by massive Central Bank printing. Let me explain. Read more…

NYSE:FAS, NYSE:FAZ, NYSE:GLD, NYSE:SDS, NYSE:SLV, NYSE:SPY, NYSE:TNA, NYSE:TZA

Toby Connor:  In response to a bursting real estate and credit bubble in 2007, Ben Bernanke’s solution was to crank up the printing press and flood the world with dollar bills. Unfortunately it didn’t solve Read more…

NYSE:GLD, NYSE:SLV, NYSE:SPY, NYSE:UDN, NYSE:USO, NYSE:UUP

Toby Connor:  Today is a classic example of why I have been warning traders not to push the long side of the stock market.  When these creeper trends finally break they often generate a crash or semi crash type of profit-taking event. Read more…

NYSE:SDS, NYSE:SH, NYSE:SPY, NYSE:UUP

Toby Connor:  Will The Market Ever Correct? That seems to be the question that everyone has been asking themselves for two months now. Analysts have been trying to pick a top in this market for weeks. All the while I’ve been telling, actually begging, people not to sell short. Until the dollar puts in an Read more…

NYSE:GDX, NYSE:GDXJ, NYSE:GLD, NYSE:IAU, NYSE:SLV, NYSE:UDN, NYSE:UUP