Target Corporation (TGT): The Stock Is Finally Looking Attractive Again

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May 27, 2015 10:09am ETF BASIC NEWS

technical-lookDiane Alter: Target Corporation (NYSE:TGT) stock is finally looking attractive again. After a massive December 2013 data breach affecting some 70 million customers costing the company $116 million, and a failed attempted foray into Canada, the company is regaining its footing…

TGT stock is up 42% in the past year, and a modest 4% in 2015.

Here’s why we see TGT stock picking up again in 2015…

TGT Stock Up After Earnings Report

For starters, let’s look at TGT’s earnings

Target’s Q1 2015 earnings, reported May 20, handily beat estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) came in at $1.10. Analysts were expecting EPS of $1.02. Revenue rose 2.8% to $17.1 billion.

Comparable store sales, which measures established locations, matched projections rising 2.3%. Online sales, meanwhile, surged 40%.

Looking ahead to Q2, TGT anticipates EPS of $1.04 to $1.14. That’s within the range of $1.12 analysts had forecast.

The Minneapolis, Minn.-headquartered company also resumed stock buybacks in Q1 – something it hasn’t done since 2013. The company repurchased $562 million in shares during the quarter.

Further, Target raised its full-year earnings forecast to $4.50 to $4.65 a share. Previous guidance was $4.45 to $4.65.

Chief Executive Officer Brian Cornell is credited with getting Target back on track. A former PepsiCo Inc. (NYSE: PEP) executive, Cornell took the top spot at Target last August.

And his plans should keep pushing TGT stock higher – take a look…

TGT Stock Responds to New Initiatives

Cornell wasted little time shuttering the chain’s money-losing Canadian operations upon realizing the subsidiary wouldn’t be profitable until 2021. In January, Target began closing its 133 Canadian stores.

Money Morning Global Resource Specialist Peter Krauth said closing Canada was the right call.

“Despite the fact that things didn’t turn out too well in Canada, I think that management was eventually, at least, willing to take their lumps and see where the mistakes were,” Krauth said last month. “I think that speaks well to upper management.”

The move allows Cornell to focus on revitalizing Target’s core U.S. operations.

Indeed, some of Cornell’s moves have already paid off – like what happened last month…

In late April 2015, Target enjoyed one of its fastest-selling collaborations out of more than 150 such projects since the program’s 1999 launch. Within hours (minutes in some locations), the Target-Lilly Pulitzer collection of more than 250 items was sold out.

Brian Yarbrough, an Edward Jones analyst, told The New York Times those are the categories where Target can differentiate itself from competitors like Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (NYSE: WMT) and Inc. (Nasdaq: AMZN).

“What they needed to do was get back to offering exciting, fashionable merchandise,” Yarbrough said.

Signature healthcare, wellness, and children items have also been selling well. Sales in this category more than doubled last quarter.

Target is the second-largest U.S. discount retailer, behind only behemoth Wal-Mart.

“Even if we’re facing slowdowns for whatever reason, these guys have the chance and the wherewithal to hold up better than a lot of others,” Krauth said. “In many cases, what they’re selling are basics. They’re staples. Buying your grooming supplies, buying your food, buying all those kinds of things – that’s something that, in most cases, there’s no putting off and very little cutting back.”

Target has grown sales 14 of the 16 quarters. It remains positive for the rest of 2015.

Plus, TGT stock offers a 2.63% dividend yield and long history of dividend growth. Target has been increasing its dividend without interruption for the last 47 years. That makes Target a Dividend Aristocrat – a company that has increased dividends for 25 years.

Target shares are up 4.33% year to date, outpacing the broad-based S&P 500’s 2.18% advance.

Money MorningWritten By Diane Alter From Money Morning

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