This Chart Says Financial Stocks May Have Topped (XLF)

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February 10, 2018 7:32am NYSE:XLF

bank sector

Technical analyst Chris Kimble examines the chart of an important bank stock index and finds reason for bulls to worry.

The chart above looks at the Bank Index over the past 13-years. In 2007 at (1), the index created a topping pattern, prior to the financial crisis and its 80% decline over the next couple of years.

The rally in banks over the past 7-years inside of rising channel (2) has it back at the height of the right shoulder of the topping pattern at (1) as well as at the top of the rising channel at (3). As it was hitting the both price points at (3) a couple of weeks ago, a reversal pattern took place.

Currently the decline in banks has it testing rising support at (4), with momentum (not shown) at very lofty levels. Bank bulls or owners of XLF, BAC, C, JPM WFS GS and bulls in the broad market do not want banks to peak here nor break rising support at (4).

The Power of the Pattern is of the opinion we are at very important price points in many markets.

The Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) closed at $27.68 on Friday, up $0.52 (+1.91%). Year-to-date, XLF has declined -0.82%, versus a -2.01% rise in the benchmark S&P 500 index during the same period.

XLF currently has an ETF Daily News SMART Grade of A (Strong Buy), and is ranked #1 of 36 ETFs in the Financial Equities ETFs category.

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This article is brought to you courtesy of Kimble Charting Solutions.

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