This Technical Signal Says The Dow Jones Industrial Average May Be Peaking

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February 10, 2018 7:21am INDEXDJX:.DJI NYSE:DIA

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From Chris Kimble: In June of 2016 the Power of the Pattern shared the chart below, reflecting that the Dow was using old megaphone resistance as new support.

The purpose of the blog post was to show this pattern and relay it was sending a long-term bullish message to stocks. The chart is below, see original POST HERE.

The chart was produced when the Dow was trading at 17,900. Over the next 18-months the Dow rose nearly 50%! A nice push off of the top of the megaphone support line!

Below looks at an update on the Dow Megaphone pattern which looks at the Dow over the past 100-years-

The Dow rose nearly 50% following the support test at (2) back in 2016. The rally off the top of the megaphone pattern now has the Dow testing the top of multi-decade rising support channel at (3). Long-term buy & hold/passive investors we feel should be aware of that the Dow hit the top of this rising channel back in 2000. Buy & holders/passive investors should also be aware that this multi-decade rising channel and the bottom of the megaphone became support back in 2009.

No doubt the trend in the Dow remains up and the 10% decline in the Dow in a couple of weeks has not broken the trend.

The Power of the Pattern is of the opinion that this is not your typical test of resistance at (3). This is a price point where long-term bulls need to pay extra attention should selling pressure ramp up!

The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) closed at $242.03 on Friday, up $3.36 (+1.41%). Year-to-date, DIA has declined -2.16%, versus a -2.01% rise in the benchmark S&P 500 index during the same period.

DIA currently has an ETF Daily News SMART Grade of A (Strong Buy), and is ranked #3 of 79 ETFs in the Large Cap Value ETFs category.

This article is brought to you courtesy of Kimble Charting Solutions.

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