Dow Jones Industrial Average Rises As Volatility Continues To Decline

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May 17, 2018 8:15am INDEXDJX:.DJI NYSE:DIA

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Market technician Dave Chojnacki of StreetOne Technical Analysis takes a deep dive into the underlying technicals for the major U.S. averages, which are climbing within striking distance of all-time highs once again.

Equities opened higher on Wednesday as economic numbers came in as expected. After the prior session’s loss, equities were quick to bounce to the upside. The 10YR was still a concern, as it ended at 3.10%. After the Euro close, the major indices continued to move higher, with Semi’s again showing strength for the second straight session. The major averages pulled back somewhat in the last hour, but held on to their gains.

IWM (iShares Russell Small Cap) closed at 160.92 an all-time high, indicating that the rally was broad. Semi’s helped push the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) to the best gainer of the day, while the S&P 500 (SPX) and Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) ended with small gains.

At the close, the DJIA was up 0.25%, the SPX gained 0.41%, and the NDX fell 0.6%. Breadth was decidedly positive, 1.9 to 1, on below average volume. ROC(10)’s advanced in the session and all three major indices remained in positive territory.

RSI’s moved higher, with the NDX continuing to be the strongest at 60.1. The DJIA is now at 57.4 and the SPX at 59. All three major averages continue with their MACD above signal. The ARMS index ended the day at 0.89, a slightly bullish reading.

Yesterday’s strength in the DJIA moved it back into the black for the year. It closed the session at 24768, above its 2017 close of 24719. The DJIA continues below its 50% retrace level of 25074. It remains above its 50D-SMA of 24422.

The SPX ended the day at 2722, just below its 50% retrace level of 2726. It remains comfortably above its 50D-SMA of 2678, which remains critical near term support. The NDX closed at 6929, comfortably above its 20D-SMA of 6749. The NDX continues above its 50% retrace level of 6760 and 50D-SMA of 6742. The VIX fell 8.2% to 13.42.

Near term support for the NDX is at 6900 and 6852. Near term resistance is at 7000 and 7131. Near term support for the SPX is at 2700 and 2678. Near term critical resistance is at 2727 and 2750. Europe is mixed in early trade. US Futures are pointing lower pre-market. Jobless Claims-8:30am Philly FED-8:30am Leading Indicators-10:00am EIA Natgas-10:30am

The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) fell $0.25 (-0.10%) in premarket trading Thursday. Year-to-date, DIA has gained 0.24%, versus a 2.02% rise in the benchmark S&P 500 index during the same period.

DIA currently has an ETF Daily News SMART Grade of A (Strong Buy), and is ranked #3 of 81 ETFs in the Large Cap Value ETFs category.

Disclaimer: The content of this article is excerpted from a daily newsletter from Street One Financial. While ETF Daily News may edit the contents and add a relevant title to the piece, the author, David Chojnacki, does not endorse or recommend any issuer or security mentioned herein.

About the Author: Dave Chojnacki

Dave Chojnacki is the Chief Market Technician at StreetOne Technical Analysis. In addition, he is Portfolio Manager for Sabretooth Advisors.

Dave develops a morning newsletter providing clients a daily look at market technicals of the major indices and selected ETF’s. Market trends, support and resistance levels are provided in the daily letter. The Technical portion of the daily can also be found on Seeking Alpha. Mr. Chojnacki has been quoted in a number of industry publications including the Reuters, ETF Trends, Minyanville, Yahoo Financial and Investors.Com.

Prior to joining StreetOne Technical Analysis, Dave designed and developed I/T Systems for the Insurance and Financial Industries.

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