Many companies and groups of long-term investors are increasingly interested in the sector.
It’s always been a case of when will this market get going. The demand side shows that generation capacity is back at 2011 levels. There are a lot of reactors being built, and Japanese reactors restarts are accelerating. The Japanese government has allowed 25% of power generation to be nuclear. The negative stories have been going away, and even the Trump administration has been supportive of nuclear power.
Three to four percent annual growth in nuclear energy going forwards seems probable. Daniel says, “The supply side is tightening, and contracts need renewing. Enrichment capacity has been reduced, and underfeeding is in decline. There are significant supply cutbacks coming, and many large projects are approaching their end of life.”
He feels we will see a rise in the price of uranium later this year as the production cutbacks show up in the market. Many companies require a price higher than $45 to continue to be sustainable otherwise they will shut down projects.
Utilities have been reducing their uranium inventory, and much of it is not available to the market. Utilities are starting to worry about where they will get supply. We are looking at a supply deficit next year.
GoviEx has been improving their balance sheet and preparing for feasibility studies. They need a year to get the studies completed, and financing arranged. After that, they can quickly move into construction when the market turns. Unlike many companies, they already have fully permitted projects.
The Global X Uranium ETF (URA) was unchanged in premarket trading Monday. Year-to-date, URA has declined -5.18%, versus a 4.66% rise in the benchmark S&P 500 index during the same period.
This article is brought to you courtesy of Palisade Research.