Stock/Bond Ratio Sending Topping Signals

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October 11, 2018 7:16am NYSE:SPY

From Chris Kimble: This chart compares the relative strength of Stocks to bonds by creating the S&P 500/10-Year yield ratio (SPX/TNX) on a monthly basis, since the mid-1970’s.

The stock/bond ratio’s trend has been up for the past 34-years, following a resistance breakout in the early 1980’s. Nothing of late has changed this long-term bullish trend. Currently, the long-term trend is experiencing a major support test right now at (1).

Over the past 3-years, the ratio has traded sideways, where it could be creating a “head & shoulders topping pattern.” Softness in the ratio of late has it testing 34-year rising support and potential neckline support at the same time at (1).

At this time support is support!!! If fails to hold it would be suggesting a long-term trend change is in play.

What the ratio does with support will send very a very important message to Stocks, Bonds, and asset allocation models!

The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) fell $3.35 (-1.20%) in premarket trading Thursday. Year-to-date, SPY has gained 4.70%.

SPY currently has an ETF Daily News SMART Grade of A (Strong Buy), and is ranked #1 of 152 ETFs in the Large Cap Blend ETFs category.

This article is brought to you courtesy of Kimble Charting Solutions.

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