Another 20% Decline Is Possible For Stocks

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October 28, 2018 8:43am NYSE:SPY

From Chris Kimble: Many savvy investors look at the NYSE Composite to gauge the health of the broader market. With the markets in correction mode, we will look at this broad-based stock index for clues about the stock market correction.


In the chart below, you can see that the NYSE Composite has foretold stock market correction with “hanging man” monthly candlesticks. This occurs when the market falls sharply intra-month and rallies into the market close (yet still closing the month below where it opened).  This pattern exerts a lot of energy and still produces a red candle… with a long tail “wick”.

This occurred in 2000, 2007, 2011, 2015, and once again in 2018. The key here is that the NYSE holds on to the 2018 lows (or regains them quickly upon loss). Right now, we are trading below this year’s monthly “closing” lows and near the overall lows. Pay attention!

The broad NYSE Composite could be warning investors that the broader stock market is ready to head lower once more if support at (1) breaks and is not immediately recovered.

NYSE Composite Chart

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE

Stock bulls get a bearish message from the NYSE index if it closes this month below the February lows.


The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) closed at $265.33 on Friday, down $-4.75 (-1.76%). Year-to-date, SPY has declined -0.17%.

SPY currently has an ETF Daily News SMART Grade of A (Strong Buy), and is ranked #1 of 152 ETFs in the Large Cap Blend ETFs category.


This article is brought to you courtesy of Kimble Charting Solutions.


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