The Retail Sector is having its best holiday season in 6 years

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December 26, 2018 11:42am NYSE:XRT

Retail Sector

From Lauren Thomas:  Retail sales in the U.S. from Nov. 1 through Christmas Eve were up 5.1 percent to more than $850 billion, according to Mastercard SpendingPulse.


  • That makes this the best holiday shopping season in six years, Mastercard said.
  • The surge in spending comes amid the latest fluctuations in the stock market, worries on Wall Street about a potentially slowing economy and a partial government shutdown.

Retail is having its best holiday shopping season in six years, according to early data tracking consumers’ purchases.

Sales in the U.S. from Nov. 1 through Christmas Eve were up 5.1 percent to more than $850 billion, according to Mastercard SpendingPulse, which monitors spending both in stores and online via all forms of payment. Mastercard also said online sales during that time frame were up 19.1 percent from a year ago, in line with earlier reports that showed robust growth in e-commerce this holiday season.

And this all comes amid the latest fluctuations in the stock market, worries on Wall Street about a potentially slowing economy and a partial government shutdown. Consumer confidence remains strong, translating into robust retail sales, said Steve Sadove, former CEO of Saks and currently advisor for Mastercard.

Over the past few weeks, “many retailers were able to give consumers what they wanted,” he added.

Some of the strongest sectors within retail this holiday season include apparel and home improvement, according to Mastercard. Apparel sales were up nearly 8 percent from Nov. 1 through Dec. 24, their best growth since 2010, the firm said. Home improvement spending, meanwhile, was up 9 percent.

Clothing retailers like LululemonAbercrombie & Fitch and Old Navy had already kicked off the holiday shopping season on a high note, seeing strong sales during Black Friday weekend. Analysts say companies that sell apparel have done a better job in 2018 managing inventory and keeping product assortments fresh, but there are still going to be “losers” in the space.

“Not all apparel is doing great,” Craig Johnson, president of retail advisory firm Customer Growth Partners, told CNBC. The biggest growth over the past few months has stemmed from activewear retailers like Nike and off-price companies like T.J. Maxx, he said.

Meanwhile, big-box retailers like Walmart and Target have invested in their websites — in addition to what they’re doing in stores — to try to grab more sales online, but the majority of purchases are still happening on Amazon. The e-commerce giant was taking a whopping 81 percent of internet sales from Dec. 1 to Dec. 19, according to Edison Trends, a firm that tracks the market share of online retailers. Amazon then said Wednesday that it sold a record number of items this holiday season, though it didn’t disclose any revenue figures.

A sector that continues to struggle within retail is department stores, even with the boost other companies are seeing.

Sales at U.S. department stores were down 1.3 percent from Nov. 1 through Christmas Eve, Mastercard said, attributing some of the decline to store closures. But Mastercard said department store operators have been performing better online. The group’s e-commerce sales were up 10.2 percent in the run-up to Christmas.

“Department stores in aggregate have been losing market share and not performing like other sectors,” Sadove said. But there are some companies, like Macy’s, within the group that are still growing, he said.

Many retailers will start to report holiday sales figures in the coming weeks, and analysts will be looking to see which companies benefited the most from the latest surge in spending.


The SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) was trading at $39.00 per share on Wednesday morning, up $0.55 (+1.43%). Year-to-date, XRT has declined -13.43%, versus a -11.37% rise in the benchmark S&P 500 index during the same period.

XRT currently has an ETF Daily News SMART Grade of A (Strong Buy), and is ranked #4 of 41 ETFs in the Consumer-Focused ETFs category.


This article is brought to you courtesy of CNBC.


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