Extended production cuts by major crude exporters and high global oil demand will likely push oil and gas prices higher in the upcoming months, providing solid tailwinds for the energy industry.
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Saudi Arabia, the world’s biggest crude exporter, recently extended its 1 million barrel per day (mb/d) voluntary supply cut until the end of 2023. Further, fellow heavyweight oil producer Russia pledged to slash oil exports by 300,000 barrels per day until the year-end.
Further, a survey of 42 economists and analysts forecast Brent crude to average $84.09 per barrel this year, an increase from August’s consensus estimate of $82.45. Oil prices are expected to stay well above $80 a barrel heading into next year, the Reuters poll showed.
“Saudi Arabia and Russia will dictate oil prices over the next three months,” said Bill Weatherburn, commodities economist at Capital Economics. “Supply cuts will probably be extended into 2024 as neither country wants prices to fall while they are grappling with higher government expenditures.”
In addition, as per U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecast, the Brent price could average $86 per barrel in the second half of 2023 and reach $88 a barrel in November and December this year. The Brent price in its forecast averages $86 a barrel for 2024.
According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), global oil markets will remain in deficit through the end of the year. In its latest monthly oil report, IEA stated that global oil demand continues to be on track to grow by 2.2 mb/d year-over-year to 101.8 mb/d in 2023, driven by resurgent Chinese consumption, jet fuel, and petrochemical feedstocks.
Further, IEA expects oil demand to…
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