Roth Capital Predicts Reduced Earnings for Assured Guaranty

Assured Guaranty Ltd. (NYSE:AGO) – Research analysts at Roth Capital lowered their Q1 2025 EPS estimates for shares of Assured Guaranty in a report released on Tuesday, November 12th. Roth Capital analyst H. Fong now expects that the financial services provider will post earnings of $1.47 per share for the quarter, down from their prior forecast of $1.50. The consensus estimate for Assured Guaranty’s current full-year earnings is $6.30 per share. Roth Capital also issued estimates for Assured Guaranty’s Q2 2025 earnings at $1.62 EPS, Q3 2025 earnings at $1.68 EPS, Q4 2025 earnings at $1.73 EPS, FY2025 earnings at $6.50 EPS, Q1 2026 earnings at $1.60 EPS, Q2 2026 earnings at $1.80 EPS, Q3 2026 earnings at $1.88 EPS and FY2026 earnings at $7.25 EPS.

A number of other research analysts have also weighed in on the stock. StockNews.com upgraded shares of Assured Guaranty from a “sell” rating to a “hold” rating in a research note on Wednesday. UBS Group boosted their price objective on shares of Assured Guaranty from $84.00 to $87.00 and gave the company a “neutral” rating in a research note on Thursday, October 17th.

Assured Guaranty Stock Up 2.9 %

Assured Guaranty stock opened at $91.54 on Wednesday. The firm has a 50 day moving average price of $82.61 and a 200-day moving average price of $79.57. The company has a quick ratio of 0.96, a current ratio of 0.85 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.29. Assured Guaranty has a twelve month low of $65.39 and a twelve month high of $96.60. The company has a market capitalization of $4.82 billion, a P/E ratio of 7.11 and a beta of 1.10.

Assured Guaranty (NYSE:AGO) last released its quarterly earnings results on Monday, November 11th. The financial services provider reported $2.42 earnings per share for the quarter, topping the consensus estimate of $1.42 by $1.00. The business had revenue of $269.00 million for the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $202.57 million. Assured Guaranty had a net margin of 70.37% and a return on equity of 11.58%. The firm’s revenue for the quarter was down 33.3% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same period in the previous year, the company earned $3.42 earnings per share.

Hedge Funds Weigh In On Assured Guaranty

Institutional investors have recently added to or reduced their stakes in the company. Janney Montgomery Scott LLC lifted its stake in shares of Assured Guaranty by 39.0% in the 1st quarter. Janney Montgomery Scott LLC now owns 4,708 shares of the financial services provider’s stock valued at $411,000 after purchasing an additional 1,320 shares during the last quarter. SG Americas Securities LLC bought a new stake in Assured Guaranty in the first quarter worth $2,818,000. Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. purchased a new position in Assured Guaranty during the first quarter worth $395,000. Sei Investments Co. increased its position in Assured Guaranty by 261.3% during the first quarter. Sei Investments Co. now owns 40,265 shares of the financial services provider’s stock valued at $3,513,000 after acquiring an additional 29,121 shares during the last quarter. Finally, Russell Investments Group Ltd. raised its stake in shares of Assured Guaranty by 63.1% in the first quarter. Russell Investments Group Ltd. now owns 124,404 shares of the financial services provider’s stock valued at $10,854,000 after acquiring an additional 48,125 shares during the period. Hedge funds and other institutional investors own 92.22% of the company’s stock.

Insider Transactions at Assured Guaranty

In other Assured Guaranty news, Director Yukiko Omura sold 3,599 shares of the stock in a transaction that occurred on Thursday, September 26th. The shares were sold at an average price of $79.73, for a total value of $286,948.27. Following the transaction, the director now directly owns 19,285 shares in the company, valued at approximately $1,537,593.05. This trade represents a 15.73 % decrease in their ownership of the stock. The transaction was disclosed in a legal filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is accessible through this hyperlink. Also, CEO Dominic Frederico sold 31,000 shares of the firm’s stock in a transaction on Wednesday, September 4th. The stock was sold at an average price of $80.01, for a total value of $2,480,310.00. Following the completion of the transaction, the chief executive officer now directly owns 1,380,119 shares in the company, valued at approximately $110,423,321.19. This represents a 2.20 % decrease in their ownership of the stock. The disclosure for this sale can be found here. Insiders own 5.10% of the company’s stock.

Assured Guaranty Dividend Announcement

The company also recently announced a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Friday, December 6th. Shareholders of record on Friday, November 22nd will be issued a $0.31 dividend. The ex-dividend date is Friday, November 22nd. This represents a $1.24 annualized dividend and a yield of 1.35%. Assured Guaranty’s dividend payout ratio (DPR) is presently 9.63%.

Assured Guaranty Company Profile

Assured Guaranty Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides credit protection products to public finance, infrastructure, and structured finance markets in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments: Insurance and Asset Management. The company offers financial guaranty insurance that protects holders of debt instruments and other monetary obligations from defaults in scheduled payments.