Bond Market Is Calling The Fed’s Bluff On Further Rate Hikes This Year

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From Steven Vannelli, CFA: A recent run of weaker economic data, highlighted by the Citigroup Economic Surprise Index (CESI) plunging to -32 from 58 in mid-March has caught the attention of the US Treasury bond market.
NYSE:AGG May 17, 2017 6:05am

Global Bond Outlook Improves After French Election

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From Invesco: As European markets return to fundamentals, Invesco Fixed Income shares its views of rates around the world.
NYSE:AGG May 9, 2017 3:39pm

Big Challenges Are Coming To U.S. Treasury Investing

bonds 600X300
From Steven Vannelli, CFA: In the table below we show the aggregate US Treasury maturity schedule. Due to stops and starts of the US Treasury issuing longer dated bonds over the last few decades, there is a huge gap in maturities available for investors.
NYSE:AGG May 1, 2017 12:04pm

How Will The Fed Deal With Weak March Jobs Growth?

federal reserve
From BlackRock: What does weaker-than-expected March jobs growth mean for the path of rate normalization? Rick Rieder weighs in.
NYSE:AGG April 13, 2017 5:51am

Global Markets Once Again Ignoring Excessive Levels Of Government Debt

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From Martin D. Weiss, Ph.D.: While Washington is buried in bungled health care reform and Wall Street is vexed about possibly jinxed tax reform, both seem to have lost sight of the one, giant, intractable monster in the economy that virtually no one talks about any more: Debt.
NYSE:AGG March 27, 2017 8:09am

Schwab: Fed Decision Was Already Fully Priced Into The Bond Markets

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From Omar Aguilar, Ph.D.: Global equity markets had fully priced in the Fed’s quarter-point rate hike, so the decision last week came as no surprise.
NYSE:AGG March 22, 2017 1:12pm

Here’s Why Interest Rates Aren’t Going Anywhere, Despite Fed Hikes

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From Bill Hall: On Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee announced – as expected – its decision to raise the benchmark federal funds rate by .25%, bringing it to .75%.
NYSE:AGG March 17, 2017 11:06am

So Far, The Bond Markets Are Calling Janet Yellen’s Rate Hike Bluff

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From Charles Roth: The Fed’s signals that rate increases could soon come seem to fall on deaf ears. U.S. stocks continue to climb as bond yields decline. Although recent data reflect accelerating economic growth, which is necessary to justify frothy valuations, structural challenges and unclear policy outcomes remain.
NYSE:AGG February 27, 2017 2:21pm

Bill Gross: Low Rates Will Continue Indefinitely, Amid Financial “Methadone”

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Janus Capital's "bond king" Bill Gross, in his usual hard-hitting style, didn't mince words in this monthly investment letter released today.
NYSE:AGG February 6, 2017 11:07am

WSJ: Federal Reserve Won’t Raise Rates Today

Bonds
According to a Wall Street Journal report, the Federal Reserve almost certainly won't lift the benchmark fed funds rate at the conclusion of today's meeting -- but it could tip its hand about future potential raises.
NYSE:AGG February 1, 2017 10:10am

What If Central Bankers Are Getting It All Wrong?

federal reserve
From John Ross Crooks III: The European Central Bank said last month that it would reduce the amount it spends buying bonds from 80 billion euros to 60 billion.
NYSE:AGG January 23, 2017 9:13am

Analyst: Multi-Decade Bond Bull Market Is Far From Over

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Jim Sarni of independent asset management firm Payden & Rygel recently penned a piece questioning the supposed end of the bond bull market, which has been one of the strongest in history.
NYSE:AGG January 17, 2017 6:34am

Goldman Sachs: Great Rotation From Bonds Into Stocks Isn’t Actually Happening

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From Tyler Durden: In addition to the "great rotation" taking place in investor mindsets, as the world - at least in theory - shifts away from monetary easing to fiscal stimulus facilitated by that other "great rotation" in the White House, a third such rotation is supposedly taking place in capital markets as investors dump bonds to buy stocks, i.e., a "great rotation" out of equities and into bonds, incidentally this is the 5th consecutive year when strategists have predicted such a trade is about to take place only to be soundly rejected.
NYSE:AGG January 8, 2017 7:53am

Schwab: Bond Markets Little Changed Since The End Of 2015

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From Brett Wander: Despite warnings of a sea change in the fixed income markets, we find ourselves in a very similar spot at the end of 2016 as we were at the end of 2015.
NYSE:AGG December 27, 2016 10:44am

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