Upside Call Buyers Betting On Lower Rates Via IEF

Bonds
We have seen interesting options activity in infrequently traded IEF (iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond, Expense Ratio 0.15%, $7.6 billion in AUM), involving June 107 calls in good size for the name.
NYSE:IEF May 23, 2017 1:49pm

BlackRock: Forget About Rising Rates This Year

yield-down
From BlackRock: Russ Koesterich talks about why bond yields remain low this year, despite expectations of a rise.
NYSE:IEF May 18, 2017 6:06am

How Much Higher Can Interest Rates Rise?

negative-interest-rates
From Bryce Coward, CFA: From the middle of April through yesterday, 10-year treasury rates rose from 2.17% to 2.40%, prompting the obvious question of how high will they rise.
NYSE:IEF May 10, 2017 12:52pm

Treasury ETFs Hitting New 52-Week Lows As Fed Hikes Rates

yield-percent-change
In perhaps the most anti-climactic interest rate hike in history, the Federal Reserve boosted the Fed funds rate by 25 basis points, from 0.50% to 0.75%.
NYSE:IEF December 14, 2016 2:24pm

Fed Notes Seem To Echo Market’s 100% Rate Hike Odds

janet-yellen
From Tyler Durden: A lot has changed since the November 2nd FOMC statement -- most notably the world has suddenly become awesome again.
NYSE:IEF November 23, 2016 2:35pm

According to Market’s Reaction, Yellen’s Latest Speech Was Dovish

Janet YellenTechnical analyst Chris Ciovacco examines the Federal Reserve chairperson's latest speech, and concludes that the cartel remains firmly dovish -- despite some hints to the contrary.
NYSE:IEF October 17, 2016 1:23pm

Fed May Have No Choice but Negative Rates

Interest ratesFrom Chris Ciovacco: While the market believes the Fed will try to hike rates again sometime in the coming months, the long-term outlook for interest rates continues to remain tame by historical standards.
NYSE:IEF October 6, 2016 1:15pm

Goldman Sachs: Bond Sell-Off Will Only Intensify

A Goldman Sachs analyst said today that he expects 10-Year Treasury yields to surge to 2% by early 2017, due to a combination of three big factors.
NYSE:IEF September 12, 2016 12:06pm

Treasuries Are Testing a Key Yield Level Once Again

From David Fabian: If there is one major theme that pervades the financial markets this year, it’s the shift from stocks to bonds.  You can romanticize about the momentum in gold stocks.  You can peek over at emerging market strength, but nothing compares to the pervasive re-allocation of global assets.
NYSE:IEF September 2, 2016 6:47am

Time For A Trend Change In TIPS?

market bondsDavid Fabian:  Investors have been flocking to the safety of treasury bonds in recent months as volatility in stocks has pressed interest rates markedly lower. In many instances, this has caused traditional treasuries to rally near the top end of their 52-week highs and may indicate
NYSE:IEF February 2, 2016 5:07pm

Fed Speaker Monday / S&P 500 Charts 2000, 2007, & 2016

bearbull1Chris Ciovacco:   After last week’s Fed statement, the market will be looking for some additional insight when Fed Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer speaks Monday.
NYSE:DIA February 1, 2016 1:44pm

This ETF Will Tell You A Lot About Inflation Expectations

inflation 600X300David Fabian:  Inflation is a scary word, as it generally presages effects like rising interest rates, higher costs of living, and climbing commodity prices. This has been one of the expected outcomes from the Fed’s implementation of quantitative easing during the course of the last half decade.
NYSE:IEF September 28, 2015 4:32pm

This ETF Will Tell You A Lot About Inflation Expectations

inflation 600X300David Fabian: Inflation is a scary word, as it generally presages effects like rising interest rates, higher costs of living, and climbing commodity prices. This has been one of the expected outcomes from the Fed’s implementation of quantitative easing during the course of the last half decade.
NYSE:IEF September 24, 2015 4:41pm

Why The Drop In Stocks Feels So Painful

bearbull2David Fabian:   The last week and a half has certainly been a roller coaster ride of emotions in the stock market.  After a 3-day sell off that culminated in extreme levels of fear, broad-based equity benchmarks managed to stage a sharp rally that has alleviated (some) feelings of panic.
NYSE:AGG August 31, 2015 4:06pm

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