From Lance Gaitan: The past week brought its fair share of drama. Although equity and Treasury markets exhibited signs of nervousness, volatility actually subsided.
From Chris Kimble: This chart looks at the Yield on the 10-year note (TNX) over the past 25-years. Yields have spent the majority of the past couple of decades inside of falling channel (1).
From Tyler Durden: In the first week of February, in the trading session just before the February 5 VIXtermination, the market tumbled as a result of a January average hourly earnings number that surged (even though as we explained at the time, the market had wildly misinterpreted the print).
From Invesco: The Federal Reserve (Fed) hiked rates by 0.25% for the second time this year, lifting the range for the federal funds rate to 1.75% to 2.00%. The statement that accompanied the meeting reflected a strengthening of the economy.
From Dana Lyons: Speculators in 10-Year T-Note futures are once again holding a record short position; will that put a badly needed bid under the market?
From Peritus Asset Management: We have spent our financial careers in the high yield bond market, actively managing various portfoliosand vehicles over our history.
Technical analyst Chris Kimble examines the recent interest rate action and sees a potential top in the works.
The 10-year Treasury yield has been the topic of conversation lately among fixed-income investors. Earlier this month, the T-note closed above 3 percent for the first time since July 2011, prompting some market watchers to call time on the three-decade Treasury bull market.
From Lance Gaitan: It was a busy week for the Treasury bond market: A Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, a manufacturing outlook, inflation, wage and spending updates, and, to top it off, the monthly jobs report released Friday morning!
From BlackRock: The early February spike in equity market volatility came on the heels of fast-rising bond yields. Jeff Rosenberg explains what’s behind the quickening pace.
From Invesco: The Feb. 14 inflation report showed that prices rose more than expected in January, which could raise market concerns over future Federal Reserve (Fed) policy and lead to continued market volatility.
From Invesco: The so-called “extraordinary measures” that are currently being used to fund the US government are projected to run out in early March. With this “drop-dead” date quickly approaching, it appears that the Treasury bill market is already reacting to the potential disruption.
From Zacks: Investors looking at avoiding underperformance should steer clear of the iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEF). The fund recently hit a new 52-week low amid rising interest rates.
From Tyler Durden: 10Y US Treasury yields just jerked higher, breaking above the crucial 2.63% level — the highest yield since Dec 2016.
From Franklin Templeton Investments: The US Federal Reserve delivered another interest-rate hike at its December monetary policy meeting, marking the fifth such move in its tightening series starting in December 2015.