Jared Cummans: Gold was the beneficiary of a strong rally after the announcement of the open-ended QE3 that pledged to pump $40 billion/month into the economy. But after picking up some steam, the precious metal suffered a rough couple of weeks. October has historically been the worst month for gold over the last 15 years, and this year’s loss of nearly 3.5% for the four week period fell right in line with those expectations [for more gold news and analysis subscribe to our free newsletter].
Now that gold is seemingly correcting, many investors are wondering if the hard asset is at a bargaining point. Peter Schiff seems to think so. The renown investor recently said that “one day we’re going to look back at $1,700 with nostalgia. People are going to be shocked at how inexpensive gold was when it could be snapped up for such a bargain price.” Schiff has been urging investors to buy this commodity for quite some time, as he feels that the next few years could watch it soar to over $5,000 per ounce.
With analysts calling for a recession next year, inflationary fears and constant dollar debasement, this commodity certainly has a lot going for it. So for those of you who fall under the umbrella of general gold bullishness, the only question you need to answer is when you think a buying opportunity presents itself. Looking back at historical trends, gold has been very strong between November and February, but the precious metal has stumbled out of the gate this month thanks to a stellar jobs report [see alsoInvesting In Gold: The Definitive Guide].
Below, we outline three ways to make a play on gold as the commodity continues to correct.
- COMEX Gold Trust (NYSEARCA:IAU): The cheapest physical gold ETF, IAU charges 25 basis points for investment and has more than $11.5 billion in total assets. While it is cheaper than the competing SPDR Gold Trust (NYSEARCA:GLD), investors should note that IAU represents 1/100th an ounce of gold and GLD 1/10th. Assuming penny-wide spreads, that means that investors will be paying more for IAU if they want the same amount of gold exposure as far as ounces of ownership are concerned.
- E-TRACS UBS Bloomberg CMCI Gold ETN (NYSEARCA:UBG): This ETN offers exposure to a basket ofgold futures, though it only has $8.7 million in assets. What many investors forget is that physical gold ETPs are taxed as collectibles no matter how long you hold them, so buying GLD or IAU will yield you a handsome 28% capital gains rate even if you held them for multiple years. UBG, on the other hand, will charge just 15% in long-term cap gains taxes, a 13% delta that could make a huge difference on your bottom line returns [see also The Dangerous Sign Jim Rogers Sees For Gold].
- Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (NYSEARCA:GDXJ): One of the most popular mining productsout there, GDXJ affords exposure to small-cap gold miners. Though some may prefer its large-cap counterpart GDX, it should be noted that small-cap companies tend to be more of a pure play as some of the larger firms that fall on GDX’s radar also mine silver and other metals.
CommodityHQ offers educational content, analysis, and commentary on global commodity markets. Whether you’re looking to speculate on a short-term jump in crude or establish a long-term allocation to natural resources, CommodityHQ has the information you need.