Investors are always looking for the next ‘big thing.’ In the late 90s, technology was the opportunity of the decade. From 1995 to 2000, the Nasdaq soared from below 800 to above 5,000. From 2002 to 2007 the S&P 500 (SPY) and Dow Jones (DIA) nearly doubled. Real estate prices in some areas more than quadrupled, while broad based real estate ETFs like the SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR) and iShares Dow Jones US Real Estate ETF (IYR) nearly tripled from 2000 to 2007
If you missed out on any of the above mega themes, don’t sweat it. The Nasdaq (QQQQ) has since plummeted, as did the Dow and S&P. Real Estate ETFs have given up all of this century’s gains.
Where is the next bull market?
An old Wall Street adage says that there is always a bull market somewhere. As it turns out, this is yet another piece of Wall Street wisdom that has been proven wrong. In 2008, the only bull market to be found was in short ETFs. The key question is whether investors should be looking for the next new bull market, or get used to a prolonged bear market while figuring out how to prosper along the way.