Morning Call: Market Set to Open Above Key Levels, Can They Hold?

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February 28, 2012 9:17am NASDAQ:QQQ NASDAQ:QQQQ

US stock futures are pointing higher Tuesday morning, with S&Pfutures set to open up above the 2011 highs of 1370. Lower oil prices and hope for a longer-term liquidity operation by the European Central Bank are boosting risk appetite this morning. The German


Bundestag approved the second Greek bailout, clearing one of the final hurdles for the rescue.

After days of dancing around Dow 13,000 and S&P 1370, it will be interesting to see if we can open and hold above these zones. The QQQ’s have been trading above their 10-day moving average for over 45 sessions now. The SPY held the 10-day yesterday to the penny.

While it may seem that risk-reward is in favor of short positions at these higher levels, a prudent technical trader sticks with the trend until it breaks. With all this positive action, it seems like everyone still wants a correction. Everyone still wants to be a pessimist vs. an optimist. I say you don’t have to be either, just watch the price action and trend. I prefer to be a realist with an optimistic bias.

European banks will probably tap the ECB for 470 billion Euros in three-year funds. If you remember, back in December when they did this the first time, it changed the complexion of the market to the upside. So let’s see what transpires here.

Investors are still worried about oil prices, and rightfully so. But I say: don’t worry until the market does.  Right now the S&P and oil still have a positive correlation and trade together. When we see that relationship change, I will try and point it out. If oil comes off hard, its possible it could have a dramatically positive effect on the market.

Each market environment has a certain character. This one is a slow, steady trend with light volume. Moves don’t happen as quick, so you need to be patient and give stocks time to work out.

In earnings news, Priceline (NASDAQ:PCLN) is up 7% to new all-time highs after earnings last night. The stock has been in a steep uptrend since late 2008, and had recently put in a macro bull flag pattern. PCLN has been on a tear in 2012 so far, and today’s move will add to that momentum.

Scott Redler Scott Redler is the Chief Strategic Officer of T3 Live. He develops all trading strategiesfor the service and acts as the face of T3 Live. Mr. Redler focuses on thorough preparation and discipline as a trader. Scott Redler has been trading equities for more than 10 years and has more recently received widespread recognition from the financial community for his insightful, pragmatic approach. He began his career as a broker and venture capitalist where he was able to facilitate relationships that led him into trading. Beginning his trading career at Broadway Trading in 1999, Scott moved on with Marc Sperling to Sperling Enterprises, LLC after establishing himself as one of the best young traders in the firm. As a manager at Sperling Enterprises, he maintained his status as a top trader in the industry while working closely with all traders in the firm to dramatically increase performance. Scott has participated in more than 30 triathlons and one IronMan triathlon, exhibiting a work ethic that also defines his trading. His vast knowledge and meticulous attention to detail has led to regular appearances on CNBC, Fox Business and Bloomberg, and he has been quoted in the Wall StreetJournaland Investor’s Business Daily among other publications. Scott produces much of the media and content available to subscribers and followers.

T3LIVE.com is an online financial media network and education platform that provides active traders and investors with market analysis, real-time access to strategies, and in-depth training from real traders, real-time.   This material is being provided to you for educational purposes only. No information presented constitutes a recommendation by T3 LIVE or its affiliates to buy, sell or hold any security, financial product or instrument discussed therein or to engage in any specific investment strategy. The content neither is, nor should be construed as, an offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy, sell, or hold any securities. You are fully responsible for any investment decisions you make. Such decisions should be based solely on your evaluation of your financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance and liquidity needs.Visit the T3Live Homepage, Virtual Trading Floor, and Learn More About Us.

*DISCLOSURES: Scott Redler is long (NYSEArca:SPY), (NYSEArca:OIH), (NYSEArca:BA), (NYSEArca:MMM), (NASDAQ:INTC), (NYSEArca:IBM), (NASDAQ:NUAN), (NYSEArca:LVS) (NYSEArca:JPM), (NYSEArca:GS). Short (NYSEArca:DIA) and (NASDAQ:QQQ). Long (NASDAQ:AMZN) puts and (NYSEArca:SMP) puts.


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