UBS Mortgage REIT ETP Yielding 27%

yieldRon Rowland:  Yield seeking investors need to be aware of an exchange traded product (“ETP”) issued by UBS.  The ETRACS Monthly Pay 2xLeveraged Mortgage REIT ETN (NYSEARCA:MORL) is about a month away from its first anniversary but has already solidified its reputation as the highest yielding U.S.-listed ETP.  MORL’s monthly distributions to owners totaled nearly $1.30 per note during the most recent quarter.  Given its current trading price of about $19.20, this places the current yield of MORL on the north side of 27%.  Not too shabby, especially in today’s yield-starved world.

There is risk with anything yielding more than the near-zero “risk-free” rate of T-Bills.  Therefore, it is imperative for investors to understand these risks before diving in.  Here is my analysis of MORL:

Underlying Index

MORL’s underlying Market Vectors Global Mortgage REITs Index is a float-adjusted, market-capitalization weighted index of publicly-traded mortgage REITs.  Although “global” is part of its name, the index currently has more than a 99% U.S. allocation.  Index constituents currently having more than a 5% weighting include Annaly Capital Management Inc (NLY) 16.2%, American Capital Agency Corp (AGNC) 12.4%, Starwood Property Trust Inc (STWD) 5.6%, Chimera Investment Corp (CIM) 5.1%, Two Harbors Investment Corp (TWO) 5.1%, and MFA Financial Inc (MFA) 5.1%.  There is a high degree of risk with mortgage REITs, and they are currently in a bear market.

Monthly Leverage Reset

MORL is linked to the monthly-compounded 2x leveraged performance of the underlying index (overview page).  Both its price and distributions are subject to this leverage, magnifying the effects of price swings and payments.  Resetting the leverage monthly instead of daily mitigates the volatility decay but does not eliminate it.  Total return since inception has been -11.0% versus -3.3% for the non-leveraged Market Vectors Mortgage REIT Income ETF (MORT), which tracks the same index.  Drawdowns are also more severe, with MORL’s price dropping 48.3% this summer versus the 26.4% price drop of MORT.

Early Termination Triggers

Monthly versus daily reset increases the likelihood of a catastrophic price move because the probability of the underlying index falling 50% during a calendar month is much higher than for any given day.  Therefore, MORL will invoke anti-ruin automatic acceleration and redemption (early termination triggers) in the event the indicative value drops to $5.00 or decreases 60% in value between monthly resets.  See the fact sheet (pdf) and other documents for additional details.

ETN Risk

As an exchange traded note, MORL is a senior, unsecured, unsubordinated debt security of UBS.  The notes carry the credit risk of UBS and do not mature until 2042.  However, these ETNs can be created or redeemed on a daily basis at full NAV, which  is one of the defining features of ETFs and ETNs.  Therefore, the credit risk is similar to a security maturing in a day or two, instead of one with a 30-year maturity.

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