Bill Luby: Based on some of the questions and comments that came out of Wednesday’s Three New Risk Control ETFs from Direxion, there appears to be a significant portion of the investment community that is uncertain about just how some ETPs are attempting to dampen volatility and control risk.
Today I am going to differentiate between three types of risk control approaches and compare two ETPs that have a little performance history. The approaches and an example ETPs are as follows:
- Using low beta stocks to minimize portfolio volatility (NYSEARCA:SPLV)
- Using a market timing mechanism that dynamically allocates between stocks and bonds according to measures of market volatility (NYSEARCA:VSPY)
- Using a market timing mechanism that dynamically allocates between stocks and VIX futures according to measures of market volatility (NYSEARCA:VQT)
While it may be partly semantics, I would not call SPLV a hedge in the sense that it does not attempt to hold securities that are negatively correlated with stocks. Instead, this approach is heavy on defensive stocks, with the current top sector allocations in utilities, consumer staples and health care stocks (see SPLV’s top holdings here.)
On the other hand, the approaches employed by VSPY and VQT are hedges in the traditional sense in that they switch into asset classes (bonds and volatility) that are generally negatively correlated with stocks when measures of volatility such as implied volatility and historical volatility signal an environment that poses greater risk to long equity positions.
As VSPY was just launched this week, it is too early to talk about the performance of this approach, but the chart below captures the performance of both SPLV and VQT since the launch of the former on May 5, 2011.
Note that both SPLV and VQT are less volatile than SPY, had a lower drawdown, had a smaller peak to trough drawdown during the August-October selloff, and dramatically outperformed SPY during the period covered by the chart. Once VSPY establishes some meaningful historical data, I will return to this subject and offer a more detailed comparison of all three approaches to controlling risk.
For those interested in pursuing some of these subjects further, there is a good deal of information in the links below.
Related: VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX ST ETN (NYSEARCA:TVIX), iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (NYSEARCA:VXX), VelocityShares Daily Inverse VIX (NYSEARCA:XIV), Barclays ETN+ S&P VEQTORT ETN (NYSEARCA:VQT).
Written By Bill Luby From The VIX and More Disclosure(s): none
Bill is a private investor who also authors the VIX and More (http://vixandmore.blogspot.com/) blog and an investment newsletter from just north of San Francisco. His research and trading interests focus on volatility, market sentiment, technical analysis, and ETFs. Prior to becoming a full-time investor, Bill was a business strategy consultant for two decades and advised clients across a broad range of industries on issues such as strategy formulation, strategy implementation, and metrics. When not trading or blogging, he can often be found running, hiking, and kayaking in Northern California. Bill has a BA from Stanford University and an MBA from Carnegie-Mellon University.