Ben Gersten: Looking at a 10-year gold prices or silver prices chart and seeing respective gains of 423% and 650% can get investors pretty excited, and for good reasons.
Whether you enjoyed the previous commodities bull run and are currently adding to your positions, or just initiating one, now is the time to buy gold and silver, as both are expected to continue climbing in value.
The “commodities super cycle is far from over” is a sentiment Money Morning Global Resource Specialist Peter Krauth has repeatedly shared with readers, and it was reiterated today by Jeffrey Currie, head of Commodity Research atGoldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS).
“We believe current market developments are simply the next phase of a commodity investment cycle that commenced in the late 1990s and, like previous phases, it will create new investment opportunities and should therefore be viewed more as a renaissance,” Currie told Bloomberg News.
This “renaissance” is something investors should enjoy by having part of their portfolio invested in precious metals and other commodities.
Gold Prices in 2013 Will Reach All-Time Highs
Both individuals and institutions are scrambling to buy gold as uncertainty surrounding the fiscal cliff and the dollar’s future weigh on investors’ minds.
Money Morning’s Krauth expects gold prices to reach all-time highs next year as global economies become increasingly inflated with fiat money, fresh supplies of gold remain low and demand for gold continues to increase – even among central banks.
Gold’s run has largely been spurred by central banks through their rapid and unprecedented increases to the global monetary supply.
The U.S. Federal Reserve is currently purchasing $85 billion a month in bonds and has plans to continue that for possibly two years, which would put the total bill for QE3 around $2 trillion. Europe is trying to keep up with the U.S. through stimulus measures of its own, and China and Japan aren’t too far behind.
From a demand standpoint, two of the fastest-growing nations, India and China, have grown to account for 47% of global demand for gold, up from 23% 10 years ago. Demand is also growing among central banks, which have already bought 493 tons of gold so far this year, surpassing last year’s total.
For all these reasons, we expect gold prices to set an all-time record nominal price in 2013, and to reach the $2,200 level in the process.
Silver Prices like “Gold on Steroids”
As history has shown, silver moves almost in sync with gold, but exaggerates its movements, both on the up and down sides.
That’s why we like to think of silver as “gold on steroids.”
Today, silver is trading around $33, but our 2013 silver price forecast now has the shiny metal going much, much higher.
What will cause this rise?
Since it’s slaved to its richer cousin, all the fundamentals for higher gold apply.
Besides technical indicators, such as the gold/silver ratio, and investor demand, silver prices are geared for a move upward on industrial demand alone.
From solar panels to electronics and medicine, silver has a wide range of industrial uses that translate into even more reasons to be bullish on silver.
And even if Ben Bernanke is replaced as Fed chairman, the fact that U.S. President Barack Obama will be appointing his replacement means more of the same fiscal policies that resulted in silver’s remarkable run in the first place.
That’s why Krauth now sees $54 as the next price target in silver’s relentless and historic climb.
For those looking to play other commodities that should continue their super cycle, check out the S&P GSCI Spot Index. It covers 24 raw materials from energy, industrial and precious metals, as well as other raw materials. The index is basically flat this year but has increased almost fourfold since 2001.
In Thursday afternoon trading, gold prices were around $1,698.70 an ounce.
Related Tickers: iShares Silver Trust (NYSEARCA:SLV), ProShares Ultra Silver (NYSEARCA:AGQ), SPDR Gold Trust (NYSEARCA:GLD), Ultra Gold ETF (NYSEARCA:UGL), iShares Gold Trust (NYSEARCA:IAU).
We’re in the midst of the greatest investing boom in almost 60 years. And rest assured – this boom is not about to end anytime soon. You see, the flattening of the world continues to spawn new markets worth trillions of dollars; new customers that measure in the billions; an insatiable global demand for basic resources that’s growing exponentially ; and a technological revolution even in the most distant markets on the planet. And Money Morning is here to help investors profit handsomely on this seismic shift in the global economy. In fact, we believe this is where the only real fortunes will be made in the months and years to come.