From John Rubino: Google "yield curve inversion" and you'll see that analysts have been waiting for this indicator to send its big signal for years. It's getting close, so expect a flood of breathless/ominous headlines when it finally happens.
NYSE:GLD August 20, 2018 6:03am
Finally, Some Good News For Gold Bugs (GLD)
Futures Markets Point To Gold Rally Ahead (GLD)
From John Rubino: No need to mince words anymore. If the futures market still influences gold's price, then that price is going to spike. And silver is better than gold.
NYSE:GLD August 14, 2018 6:20am
The Global Housing Bubble Might Be Popping (ITB)
From John Rubino: Just a few months ago, real estate was on fire. Prices were blowing past records set during the previous decade's housing bubble as desperate buyers bought whatever was available at above the asking price while homeowners, confident that prices would keep rising, held out for the next big pop to sell.
BATS:ITB August 7, 2018 6:30am
Is The Interest Rate Death Spiral Finally Starting? (TLT)
From John Rubino: The yield on Italy's 10-year bond is up by about 100 basis points from its 2018 low. Meanwhile, its government continues to borrow money and roll over its existing debt.
NASDAQ:TLT July 30, 2018 5:55am
Public Sector Pensions Could Doom Some Municipal Bonds (MUB)
From John Rubino: The Wall Street Journal recently highlighted a better method of analysing the impact of public sector pensions on state and local budgets.
NYSE:MUB July 23, 2018 6:27am
Gold And Silver Futures Action Turning Positive (GLD)
From John Rubino: After a brutal few weeks in precious metals, you'd expect trend-following speculators to be heading for the exits. And the most recent gold and silver futures action -- aka the commitment of traders (COT) report -- shows exactly that. Which is good news.
NYSE:GLD July 22, 2018 8:14am
U.S. Housing Bubble Begins Producing Motivated Sellers (XHB)
From John Rubino: Housing bubbles proceed in fairly predictable stages. Stage One is long and (initially) slow, fueled by excess central bank money creation or foreign demand or some other source of liquidity that encourages large numbers of people to buy houses.
NYSE:XHB July 16, 2018 6:23am
How Rising Wages Could Lead To Lower Stock Prices (IVV)
From John Rubino: Today's Wall Street Journal contains a couple of charts that illustrate a relationship that's not getting much media attention these days: The fact that tightening labor markets are forcing companies to raise wages, in the process squeezing their own profit margins.
NYSE:IVV July 11, 2018 6:20am
Inside The Emerging Market Crisis (EEM)
From John Rubino: One of the things giving "data-driven" central banks wiggle room on their pledge to tighten monetary policy is the fact there are several definitions of inflation.
NYSE:EEM July 1, 2018 8:03am
Is China Part Of The Emerging Market Crisis? (EEM)
From John Rubino: Being huge, consequential and technologically advanced, China isn't normally lumped into the "emerging" category with Brazil and Argentina. To most observers they've already left the kids table and are now seated with the developed-world adults.
NYSE:EEM June 27, 2018 6:32am
Will Bitcoin’s Most Recent Drop Be Good For Gold? (BTC)
From John Rubino: After an artificial pause in 2017, U.S. government debt has resumed its inexorable climb.
CURRENCY:BTC June 25, 2018 6:06am
We’re Officially In An M&A Bubble
From John Rubino: As bubbles expand and hot money starts burning holes in corporate pockets, merger and acquisition deal terms begin to leave reality behind. Often one deal of such breathtaking size, scope and hubris is struck that -- in retrospect - it heralds the end of the era.
NYSE:IVV June 24, 2018 6:51am
Why Higher Oil Is Hurting Emerging Markets So Much (USO)
From John Rubino: Oil prices are up over the past year, which is bad if you're, say, a developing country that imports a lot of the stuff.
NYSE:USO June 18, 2018 6:04am
Subprime Auto Loans Are A Ticking Time Bomb (CARZ)
From John Rubino: The longer an expansion lasts, the crappier its paper becomes.
NASDAQ:CARZ June 11, 2018 6:13am
How The U.S. Dollar Is Hurting Emerging Markets Performance (EEM)
From John Rubino: For most of the past few years, emerging market stocks and bonds were among the favorite investments of everyone from hedge funds to pension funds to retirees.
NYSE:EEM June 4, 2018 6:13am