Stick With A Simple Investment Strategy

Wall streetDavid Fabian:  The other day Josh Brown, one of my favorite social media follows and author of the blog The Reformed Broker, wrote an excellent treatise on Simple vs Complex investment methods.  If you haven’t already, go here to read it.  You won’t be disappointed.
NYSE:DIA April 8, 2016 3:12pm

Philly Fed Manufacturing Index: First Positive Activity In Six Months

manufacturing growthJill Mislinski:  The Philly Fed's Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey is a monthly report for the Third Federal Reserve District, covers eastern Pennsylvania, southern New Jersey, and Delaware.
NYSE:DIA March 29, 2016 4:22pm

Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500: Why The Market Is Overvalued

wall-street-etfTyler Durden:  Three weeks ago, when looking at the incoming Q4 results, we were stunned by an unprecedented divergence: that of GAAP and non-GAAP earnings.
NYSE:DIA March 18, 2016 12:12pm

Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500: The First Big Crash Likely Just Ahead

market correction bearHarry Dent:  The story on Wall Street and CNBC continues to be that we’re in a correction and this is a buying opportunity. Even Warren Buffett joins the chorus of stock market cheerleaders for the skeptical public. Well, I agree with the skeptical public, not the experts here!
NYSE:DIA March 16, 2016 3:17pm

Retail Sales: December Numbers Are A Huge Disappointment

retail etfDoug Short:  The Census Bureau's Advance Retail Sales Report released this morning shows that seasonally adjusted sales in December decreased 0.1% month-over-month and are up 2.2% year-over-year. Core Retail Sales (ex Autos) also declined 0.1% MoM and are up only 1.2% YoY.
NYSE:DIA January 15, 2016 2:42pm

November Disposable Income Per Capita Rose 0.19%, 0.17% When Adjusted for Inflation

economyDoug Short: With the release of today's report on November Personal Incomes and Outlays we can now take a closer look at "Real" Disposable Personal Income Per Capita.
NYSE:DIA December 23, 2015 3:33pm

The Core PCE Price Index Remains Disappointingly Below Target

inflationDoug Short:   The Personal Income and Outlays report for November was published this morning by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The latest Headline PCE price index year-over-year (YoY) rate is 0.39%, up from the previous month's 0.22%.

Q3 GDP Third Estimate At 2.0%, Little Changed From The Second Estimate

economyDoug Short:  The Third Estimate for Q3 GDP, to one decimal, came in at 2.0 percent, little changed from the 2.1 percent for the Second Estimate. Today's number was on par with most mainstream estimates, with forecasting 1.9% and forecasting 2.1 percent.
NYSE:DIA December 22, 2015 4:00pm

Here Comes The Fed! What’s The Play For Income Investors?

buyers and sellersLawrence Meyers:  Apparently the markets are putting the odds of a rate hike next month at 74%. The financial media is raising the hue and cry, as if this is some monumental event that requires bond and fixed income investors to immediately rejigger their portfolios to respond to this act.
ETF BASIC NEWS December 15, 2015 4:18pm

Michigan Consumer Sentiment: December Preliminary Up Slightly From November

wall-street-etfDoug Short:  The University of Michigan Preliminary Consumer Sentiment for December came in at 91.8, a slight increase from the 91.3 November Final reading. had forecast an even 92.0.
NYSE:DIA December 11, 2015 4:06pm

Producer Price Index: A Surprising Increase In November

inflationDoug Short:  Today's release of the November Producer Price Index (PPI) for Final Demand came in at 0.3% month-over-month seasonally adjusted, up from -0.4% in October. It is down -1.2% year-over-year, the eleventh consecutive month of YoY shrinkage.

Retail Sales: November Retail Sales Show A Modest Improvement

retail etfDoug Short:   The Census Bureau's Advance Retail Sales Report released this morning shows that seasonally adjusted sales in November increased 0.2% month-over-month and are up 1.4% year-over-year. Core Retail Sales (ex Autos) came in at 0.4% MoM and are up only 0.7% YoY.

Treasury Snapshot As We Approach A Rate Hike Decision

percent rateDoug Short:  Next week we'd learn whether the Fed indeed gives us a December rate hike. Let's take a close look at US Treasuries a week in advance of that decision. The yield on the 10-year note ended the day on yesterday at 2.24%, which is at the higher end of the year-to-date range of 1.68% to 2.50%.
ETF BASIC NEWS December 9, 2015 5:14pm

Market Is Providing Insight Into Fed Rate Hike Now

Janet-YellenChris Ciovacco:  Want To Know The Weather?  One of the easiest ways to understand the weather is to look out the window. With the market assigning an “almost a done deal” probability of 78% that the Federal Reserve hikes rates on December 16, we will be able to gain insight into

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