Mortgage refinancing surges as rates fall

From Yan Zhang:

Homeowners are scrambling to refinance their mortgages now that rates are falling.

BATS:ITB May 22, 2019 2:04pm

How to get involved in the cannabis boom without the risk

Marijuana
From Aaron Levitt:

[Editor's note: This story was previously published in April 2019. It has since been updated and republished.]

NYSE:MJ May 21, 2019 5:12pm

Natural gas prices rise due to expected warmer weather

From James Hyerczyk:

Natural gas traders could face a major decision this week with the prospect of summer demand growth driving the bullish traders and bearish storage builds attracting the interest of the bearish traders.

NYSE:UNG May 20, 2019 1:57pm

Why is Wall Street skeptical about the cannabis sector?

Marijuana
From Sean Williams:

If you think the broad-based stock market is on fire, then you obviously haven't been paying close enough attention to the legal cannabis industry. This year alone, marijuana stocks have run circles around the S&P 500 in terms of total return, and marijuana's "Big Three" -- Canopy GrowthAurora Cannabis, and Cronos Group -- have all delivered huge quadruple-digit-percentage gains since the beginning of 2016.

NYSE:MJ May 17, 2019 1:15pm

Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities ETF hits a 52 week-high

From Zacks: For investors seeking momentum, iShares TIPS Bond ETF TIP is probably on radar now. The fund just hit a 52-week high, and is up 5.8% from its 52-week low price of $107.53 per share.
NYSE:TIP

Utilizing ETFs to successfully navigate stock market volatility

From McKenzie Stratigopoulos:

An ETF expert says that investors can hedge against market swings by focusing on ETFs that specifically target lower volatility stocks.

NYSE:SPLV May 16, 2019 1:31pm

Why are natural gas prices moving higher?

From James Hyerczyk:

Natural gas futures broke out of a two-week range to finish higher for the week with buyers getting help from a drop in production. Futures were dragged higher by strengthening forward prices, which rose despite the absence of early summer heat in the weather forecasts to drive demand.

NYSE:UNG May 13, 2019 12:51pm

Treasuries rally amidst the escalating US-China trade war

us china trade war photo
From Bloomberg:

U.S. Treasuries led a global rally in some of the world's safest assets after President Donald Trump imposed a one-month deadline on China to agree a trade deal or risk tariffs on all of its exports.

Nasdaq:IEF

The S&P 500 has its worst week year-to-date

recession
From Emily McCormick:

Stocks recovered some losses Friday after Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin called trade talks with China this week "constructive." The upbeat comments helped ease concerns after President Donald Trump's new tariffs on Chinese-made goods went into effect early Friday morning, escalating fears of a full-blown trade war.

NYSE:SPY May 10, 2019 10:23pm

Mortgage rates fall, head to best levels for 2019

reit investments
From Doug Whiteman:

Lower mortgage rates continue to bloom in May, after an April that rained down increases in borrowing costs.

NYSE:XHB May 9, 2019 5:55pm

The semiconductor sector is on pace to have worst week in 3 years

From Ryan Vlastelica:

Semiconductor stocks are on track for their biggest weekly percentage loss in more than three years as a weak growth outlook from Intel Corp. further pressured a sector already rattled by a resurgence of trade uncertainty.

NYSE:SMH

The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished even on Wednesday as US-China trade war concerns remain

us-china investing
From Emily McCormick:

Stocks ended little changed Wednesday as investors considered whether the U.S. and China would come to an agreement to resolve a more than year-long trade dispute before new tariffs are set to take effect Friday.

NYSE:DIA May 8, 2019 5:52pm

Gold purchases by central banks in Q1 were the highest in 6 years

gold bars
From Rupert Rowling:

(Bloomberg) -- First-quarter gold purchases by central banks, led by Russia and China, were the highest in six years as countries diversify their assets away from the U.S. dollar.

NYSE:GDX May 2, 2019 6:06pm

Morgan Stanley analyst issues a “mea culpa” after the S&P 500 rallies 17% in 2019

From Lu Wang:

(Bloomberg) -- Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson acknowledges he made the wrong call on the U.S. equity market this year. But that hasn’t dissuaded him from holding onto one of Wall Street’s most bearish forecasts.

With the S&P 500 Index at a record high after surging 17 percent this year, the firm’s chief U.S. equity strategist issued a mea culpa Monday, saying he underestimated a rally that’s been driven in large part by the Federal Reserve’s dovish tilt. Rather than revisiting the 2018 trough, as Wilson had predicted in January, stocks have kept marching higher.

It's the second time in seven months that Wilson has owned up to an overly pessimistic prediction. Last September, he said his early call for a correction amounted to the same thing as not being right. A few weeks later, stocks began a sell-off that ultimately took the S&P 500 to the brink of a bear market.

Still, Wilson is sticking by his longer-term outlook for the market. Even though this year's rebound has pushed the S&P 500 about 7 percent above his year-end target of 2,750, fundamentals just don't support the market's current levels, according to his analysis.

"We have to acknowledge our error and decide if the market is telling us something and if we should raise our targets," Wilson wrote. "The short answer is no because valuations are full and we still see downside risk to the consensus earnings estimates over the next 12 months."

At 17 times forecast earnings, the S&P 500 is trading at a multiple that's 14 percent higher than its 10-year average, data compiled by Bloomberg show. While first-quarter earnings have come in better than expected, analysts have continued to lower estimates for coming quarters. The expected rate of growth for the current quarter just turned negative.

While the size of predicted declines is small, any deterioration would raise the odds for an earnings recession, a scenario that Wilson predicts for this year. Despite the unfavorable profit backdrop, speculation that the Federal Reserve would lower interest rates and optimism that a China-U.S. trade agreement will be reached have continued to lift the market.

The S&P 500 could rise to 3,000, about 2 percent above its current level, on the announcement of a trade deal, but that should be seen as a sell signal, according to the strategist. Despite growing talk about a market melt-up, investors shouldn't chase the rally, he said.

Morgan Stanley defines a market melt-up as a period when the S&P 500's price-to-earnings ratio moves to high levels versus its recent past very quickly. The firm identified six instances over the past three decades that fit the criteria and found they shared something in common: they're either accompanied by monetary or fiscal stimulus.

While the Fed has tilted more market friendly, Wilson suggested the current environment lacks other elements that would embolden a melt-up, such as a weaker dollar, better growth outlook and a potential uptick in consumer confidence. In particular, companies such as Amazon.com Inc. and Facebook Inc. have cut capital spending while small-caps and cyclical shares have trailed the market, all evidence pointing to subdued growth prospects.

"The positive spin is that maybe last week's spike is like the spike in early January 2018 and we still have another spike to look forward to as people decide they have to pile in," Wilson wrote. "Use at your own peril, but our advice is to not bet on it at this stage because the fundamental conditions are different from past periods that exhibited such exuberance."


The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) fell $0.26 (-0.09%) in after-hours trading Monday. Year-to-date, SPY has gained 10.56%. SPY currently has an ETF Daily News SMART Grade of A (Strong Buy), and is ranked #1 of 154 ETFs in the Large Cap Blend ETFs category.
This article is brought to you courtesy of Yahoo! Finance .
NYSE:SPY April 29, 2019 5:23pm

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