Commodities, Japanese Yen Both Looking Iffy Here (DBC)

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July 13, 2018 6:23am NYSE:DBC

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From Chris Kimble: The below chart looks at the Japanese Yen and the Thompson Reuters Equal Weight commodity index over the past 9-years, which reflects that the long-term trend for both remains lower.


Both peaked in 2011-2012 and declined for the next 5-years. Both bottomed in 2015-2016 and a have rallied over the past 30-months. Correlation between the two remains decent.

The decline in each of late has both testing 30-month rising support at (1). Is a breakdown in play? At this time it is too soon to tell. For sure an important support test is in play!

If both break support at (1), selling pressure could increase, suggesting that the long-term trend continues to influence both. Commodity bulls want to keep a close eye on both of these in the very near future, as these support tests look to be very important for portfolio construction.


The Invesco DB Com Indx Trckng FundETF (DBC) was unchanged in premarket trading Friday. Year-to-date, DBC has gained 2.35%, versus a 5.11% rise in the benchmark S&P 500 index during the same period.

DBC currently has an ETF Daily News SMART Grade of A (Strong Buy), and is ranked #2 of 113 ETFs in the Commodity ETFs category.


This article is brought to you courtesy of Kimble Charting Solutions.


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