The greenback enjoyed a mild recovery following its steepest weekly drop versus a basket of currencies in three months last week, as traders reduced their expectations that the Federal Reserve might pause its interest rate hikes sooner than previously thought.
“It’s definitely weakening the pound,” said Chuck Tomes, associate portfolio manager at Manulife Asset Management in Boston. “It’s casting more uncertainty about a Brexit vote.”
The U.K. parlimentary vote for May’s Brexit proposal was set for Tuesday. Opponents and supporters of Brexit joined in opposition to her deal. At 10:57 a.m. ET, the sterling was down 1.4 percent at $1.2552.
The euro hit a three-month peak versus the pound and was last trading at 90.85 pence. The greenback strengthened versus a basket of currencies that includes the euro as traders trimmed their earlier bets on a less aggressive Federal Reserve.
Widening interest rate differentials between the United States and the rest of the world, driven by a confident U.S. Federal Reserve, has fueled an unlikely dollar rally this year.
However, weak data in recent weeks has clouded the currency’s prospects for next year. “You are getting a bit of reprieve from a very dovish view for the Fed in the next 12 months,” Tomes said.
The futures market implied traders expected the U.S. central bank to raise key lending rates by a quarter point at its Dec. 18-19 meeting to 2.25-2.50 percent, marking its fourth rate hike in 2018.
They now saw no more than one rate increase in 2019, down from two a month ago, according to CME Group’s FedWatch program. An index that tracks the dollar versus a group of six currencies was up 0.31 percent at 96.81 after falling 0.78 percent last week.
The Invesco CurrencyShares British Pound Sterling Trust (FXB) was trading at $121.97 per share on Monday afternoon, down $1.61 (-1.30%). Year-to-date, FXB has declined -7.04%, versus a -1.51% rise in the benchmark S&P 500 index during the same period.
This article is brought to you courtesy of CNBC.