How Much More Will Stocks Bounce?

From Bryce Coward, CFA: The selling over recent weeks has been fast and intense, providing investors almost no relief. This type of short-term selling pressure has reached fever pitch levels that is usually indicative of some sort of relief rally, even if the ultimate lows are still ahead of us.
NYSE:IVV November 1, 2018 6:57am

Latest GDP Report Shows Effects Of Trade Wars, Government Spending

From Bryce Coward, CFA: Third quarter real GDP came in at a 3.5% QoQ annualized rate for the third quarter, above expectations for a 3.3% growth rate. The growth rate itself wasn't much of a surprise, and frankly, neither were the drivers of growth. But, the report is reminder of a GDP report that was, to some extent, manufactured by trade war concerns and late cycle fiscal stimulus.
NYSE:IVV October 29, 2018 6:59am

U.S. Housing Market Continues To Deteriorate

From Bryce Coward, CFA: Today, economy watchers were treated to more of the same from the housing market. That is, more weak numbers suggesting we may have seen the peak in housing activity for the cycle.
NYSE:XHB October 22, 2018 6:22am

Wages Are Suddenly Rising — Here’s What It Means For The Markets (SPY)

From Bryce Coward, CFA: The Phillips Curve (the relationship between wages and the unemployment rate) finally awoke from its slumber with today's unemployment report showing private sector wages rising 2.9% year-over-year and non-supervisory wages rising 2.8% year-over-year, the fastest growth rate since 2009.
NYSE:SPY September 10, 2018 6:29am

Extremely Crowded Trades in Gold, Bonds and the US Dollar (UUP)

From Bryce Coward, CFA: We are living through a period of extremely crowded trades at the moment, as Jeff Gundlach notably quipped several days ago.
NYSE:UUP August 22, 2018 6:16am

This Narrow Market Means Picking Winners Is Important (IYW)

From Bryce Coward, CFA: On a day like Monday when more than half of the US tech sector was down more than 2%, we are reminded of the benefits of diversification.
NYSE:IYW August 2, 2018 9:46am

The Inflation Story Is Alive And Well (TIP)

From Bryce Coward, CFA: In light of Fed Chairman Powell's congressional testimony, we thought it relevant to revisit the inflation story and provide yet more evidence that the trend in inflation continues to be higher.
NYSE:TIP July 18, 2018 6:23am

The Emerging Markets Sell-Off Has Probably Gone Too Far (EEM)

Image of a globe
From Bryce Coward, CFA: Emerging market stocks have taken it on the chin so far in 2018, down 9% and unperperforming the MSCI World Index by about 8%.
NYSE:EEM July 6, 2018 8:51am

Why Emerging Markets Have Been So Weak Lately (EEM)

From Bryce Coward, CFA: This week financial market participants were delivered a cogent explanation for the weakness in EM stocks, bonds and currencies by India's central bank governor, Mr. Urjit Patel.
NYSE:EEM June 10, 2018 5:38am

Markets Sitting Here In Limbo

Image of business magazine with coins
From Bryce Coward, CFA: In observing the equity markets over the last several weeks, we cannot help but be reminded of the Jimmy Cliff song, "Sitting Here in Limbo", which was famously covered by Jerry Garcia.
INDEXDJX:.DJI June 3, 2018 8:19am

Time To Buy The Dip In Oil? (USO)

From Bryce Coward, CFA: As we write, comments by officials in Saudi Arabia about possible OPEC production increases later this year have sent WTI crude oil futures down below $68.00/barrel (-4%), down from nearly $73/barrel just three days ago.
NYSE:USO May 28, 2018 8:11am

Higher Oil Prices Are About To Hurt The U.S. Consumer (USO)

oil derrick
From Bryce Coward, CFA: Rising oil prices, food prices and interest rates are likely to soon start taking a toll on the US consumer.
NYSE:USO May 17, 2018 6:29am

Why The Next Two Weeks Are So Important For The Markets (SPY)

From Bryce Coward, CFA: The next two weeks will be key for markets as they assess the magnitude and durability of the ongoing inflation liftoff.
NYSE:SPY April 27, 2018 6:35am

Watch Inflation Very Closely Here (SPY)

From Bryce Coward, CFA: Among yesterday's data releases was the widely followed 'flash' PMI report produced by Markit, which showed that the Manufacturing PMI increased to the highest level since the 4th quarter of 2014.
NYSE:SPY April 25, 2018 6:15am

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