QE3: Is The Federal Reserve Panicking?

Jeff Harding: Here is the Fed Open Market Committee’s announcement of November 25, 2008 announcing the implementation of QE1, a $600 billion bond purchase program:
NASDAQ:QQQ September 14, 2012 11:31am

European Central Bank Move: Is Mario Draghi’s Plan Inflationary? (EWI, EWP, EWG, VGK, EUO)

Jeff Harding: The European Central Bank (ECB) has decided to bailout its bankrupt members, mainly Italy (NYSEARCA:EWI) and Spain (NYSEARCA:EWP), by buying their shorter-term bonds ( 1 to 3 years) with newly created money. The idea is to drive down
NYSE:EUO September 7, 2012 3:28pm

Gold Prices: Why Have Gold Bugs Been So Wrong?

Jeff Harding: While I am an advocate of gold investments and gold money, I find that many gold bugs take rather simplistic views of  gold markets, gold investments, and the economics behind it. I saw recently saw headlines from another site which thundered
NYSE:GLD July 31, 2012 12:56pm

Please Don’t “Get To Work, Mr. Chairman” (INDEXDJX:.DJI, INDEXSP:.INX, SPY, DIA, IWM)

Jeff Harding: This week’s data builds a further case for a declining economy and likelihood of the Fed doing another round of QE. These data hit all of the Fed’s marks for action: joblessness and unemployment, declining industrial production, low price inflation
NYSE:DIA July 23, 2012 1:37pm

Global Economic Decline Is Here, Now (SPY, DIA, IWM, INDEXSP:.INX, INDEXDJX:.DJI)

Jeff Harding: The recent U.S. manufacturing report is at the top of a mountain of bad economic news coming out. Whether these data will lead to a “new” recession (as defined by the NBER) remains to be seen, but at the very least the U.S. economy is stagnating,
NYSE:DIA July 6, 2012 1:24pm

Investors: The Economy Is Floating On Air (GLD, SLV, SPY, DIA, INDEXSP:.INX, INDEXDJX:.DJI)

Jeff Harding: Much of what we see in recent economic growth is caused by one thing: cheap money and credit. This is obvious as we look at two important economic drivers: autos and homes. Both are significant in that they represent the two biggest purchases
NYSE:DIA June 20, 2012 12:01pm

Is This Inflation or Deflation?

Jeff Harding: The official “inflation” numbers came in last week and they show declining prices, something that the Fed calls “deflation”. The Fed and most policy makers will panic if deflation continues and prices steadily drop. It’s a tricky thing to evaluate
NYSE:GLD May 22, 2012 1:21pm

The Federal Reserve System: The Ultimate Disorganizing Organization

Jeff Harding:  In the remarks below I evaluate the Federal Reserve System — and the institution of central banking more generally — from the perspective of an organizational economist. While I strongly disagree with many of the key policies
ETF BASIC NEWS May 18, 2012 11:44am

Organisation For Economic Co-operation and Development Snapshot of The World (SPY, VGK, EWJ, GLD)

Jeff Harding:  The OECD just came out with its “Interim Assessment” of the major economies within the OECD (34 countries). This article amounts to what is known on the blogosphere as “chart porn” since most of the data comes in the form of … charts. Personally I think “chartocopia” is a better term.

NYSE:EWJ April 11, 2012 1:15pm

Fed Policy: Ben Bernanke Is Warming Up His Helicopter (GLD, IAU, SLV, UUP, UDN)

Jeff Harding:  Economists cling to statistical data like barnacles in order to have some kind of anchor to explain what is going on in the world. They will try to cram the square data peg into the round holes of economic ”laws” rather than abandon them when they are obviously wrong. Which is not a very

NYSE:GLD March 28, 2012 10:26am

There Is No Such Thing As Harmless Price Inflation (GLD, SLV, IAU, UUP, UDN)

Jeff Harding:  A “little” inflation will destroy capital, rob you of your savings, disrupt all of your long-term financial planning, create market instability, and leave you unprepared for retirement. You can protect yourself and you must.

NYSE:GLD March 19, 2012 12:14pm

The ‘High Oil Prices = Recession’ Fallacy (USO, XLE, XOM, CVX, VLO, COP, BP)

Jeff Harding:  Every time we see oil prices go up we hear that it will cause inflation and/or the economy will go into the tank.

ETF BASIC NEWS February 28, 2012 12:14am

Hoisington’s Hunt Says It’s Recession For 2012

Jeff Harding:  An article from John Mauldin was referred to me by three people who suggested it was a must read. The article was an interview of Hoisington Investment Management economist Dr. Lacy Hunt by Kate Welling, a financial journalist, formerly with Barron’s. I don’t read

NYSE:SPY February 20, 2012 12:39pm

White Paper: Is This Recovery? Where Are We Going and Why? (SPY, SDS, SSO, SPXU, UPRO, INDEXSP:.INX)

Jeff Harding:  There is a lot of good news to buoy the markets and give cheer to the public. We hear that new jobless claims are down another 15,000 to 358,000, the ninth week of declines out of the last ten, finally breaking below the 400,000 mark. A reduction in unemployment is a very positive sign

NYSE:SDS February 16, 2012 2:57pm

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