Why Market’s Seasonality May Be Critical In 2015 [Dow Jones Industrial Average, SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust]

wall-street-etfSy Harding:  With its FOMC statement, the Fed provided the market with what it wanted to hear.
NYSE:DIA April 8, 2015 12:46pm

The Stock Market Is Going To Experience A Substantial Correction In 2015

market correction bearSy Harding:  Several months ago I wrote of how super bull markets that last nine or ten years have been once in a generation situations, the last ones being those of the 1920’s and the 1990’s, but that there were enough similarities to 1997 in the current bull
NYSE:DIA March 16, 2015 4:58pm

Stock Market: Remain Bullish, But Watchful

bearbull1Sy Harding: Remain bullish because the bull market remains in place, with most indexes making new highs as recently as last week. Support levels continue to hold on short-term pullbacks, technical indicators remain on buy signals, and the market’s

Investors Are Mistakenly Assured By Two Shaky Generalities [Dow Jones Industrial Average, SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust]

investSy Harding:  Investors are complacent, even confident, regarding the prospects for 2015. That is in spite of the market being at valuation levels higher than all but one previous market peak of the last 100 years, while the economy appears to be slowing,
NYSE:DIA March 2, 2015 3:46pm

Dow Jones Industrial Average: Conditions Setting Up For A Summer Market Washout?

down plunging pricesSy Harding:  Here is what we can quite confidently depend on.
NYSE:DIA February 27, 2015 12:17pm

The Party Is Likely Over For U.S. Treasury Bonds [iShares Barclays 20+ Yr Treas.Bond (ETF), ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury ETF]

market bondsSy Harding:  U.S. treasury bonds defied the experts last year.
NYSE:TBT February 13, 2015 4:26pm

Central Banks Want Inflation; They’re Getting Potential Deflation [Dow Jones Industrial Average, SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust]

federalreserveSy Harding:  The fears after 2001 were that the Fed’s easy money policies to pull the economy out of the 2001 recession, followed by even more easing, including the near-zero Fed Funds rate instituted after the 2008 financial meltdown, would result in runaway inflation.
NYSE:DIA February 2, 2015 1:46pm

Central Banks and Economic Reports Keep Bull Market Alive

bearbullSy Harding: At the age of 72 months, the U.S. bull market may be long in the tooth. Stocks may be significantly over-priced based on the CAPE-10 P/E ratio, and Warren Buffett’s favorite measurement, the ratio of market capitalization
NYSE:VGK January 26, 2015 5:31pm

Gold Rally Has Technical and Fundamental Support [SPDR Gold Trust (ETF), iShares Silver Trust (ETF)]

gold timeSy Harding: Gold plunged 48% from its record high above $1,900 an ounce in 2011, to its low late last year. That was a sizable bear market move.
NYSE:GLD January 21, 2015 12:44pm

The ECB Will Be A Big Factor In 2015’s First Half [Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF, iShares S&P Europe 350 Index (ETF)]

europeSy Harding: The European Central Bank has provided assurances for months that it is ‘monitoring’ economic conditions in the 18-nation euro-zone, and will take aggressive stimulus measures ‘if necessary’.
NYSE:IEV January 12, 2015 4:48pm

Seasonal Sweet Spot For Small Stocks? [Dow Jones Industrial Average, iShares Russell 2000 Index (ETF)]

investSy Harding: Studies show that one of the most persistent patterns investors follow is ‘chasing performance’. It’s most prevalent at this time of year. Investors shop for next year’s winners from the lists of the best performing stocks or mutual funds of the previous year.
NYSE:DIA January 9, 2015 1:05pm

Congress Has Guaranteed the Secular Bear Market is Not Over [Dow Jones Industrial Average, SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust]

bearbull1Sy Harding: The cyclical bull market that began in 2009 has not ended. Enjoy it while it lasts because the long-term secular bear market that began in 2000 has also not ended.
NYSE:DIA December 19, 2014 2:47pm

Are We In Another 1990s-Style Super Bull Market? [Dow Jones Industrial Average, SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust]

bullish buySy Harding:  Bull markets normally last an average of 4.5 years. By that time, stocks are usually over-valued, the market is over-extended, the Fed is making plans to cool off the enthusiasm, and the bull market/ bear market cycle begins to sequence into the next bear market. 
NYSE:DIA December 8, 2014 5:26pm

U.S. Treasury Bonds Are Outperforming S&P 500 [iShares iBoxx $ High Yid Corp Bond (ETF), ProShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yr(ETF)]

money and investingSy Harding: It was a sure thing. With the Fed cutting back its massive QE bond-buying program this year bonds would plunge. Instead, they began rallying sharply in January, precisely when the Fed began tapering back QE.
NYSE:HYG December 1, 2014 4:23pm

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